Alexander Tapia
๐Ÿ“Š Softer CPI Reinforces Bullish Momentum The CPI data just came out โ€” and it came in softer than expected โœ… Core CPI: +0.2% vs +0.3% expected Headline CPI: +0.3% vs +0.4% expected This reinforces the case for a 25 bps Fed rate cut later this month and supports Trumpโ€™s argument that recent tariff threats are not yet feeding into higher living costs. Looking deeper, most CPI categories showed declines, which should act as a positive catalyst for equities, just as mentioned in yesterdayโ€™s post. However, super-core inflation ticked up slightly from 0.33% to 0.35% MoM, mainly driven by higher costs in: ๐ŸŽŸ๏ธ Recreation โœˆ๏ธ Airline fares Also, one of the most sticky components, ๐Ÿ  Shelter, increased. While this points to some stickiness in services, the overall trend remains favorable for risk assets. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Weโ€™ll continue to monitor macroeconomic data closely, but for now, our portfolio is well-positioned to benefit from the allocation adjustments made over the past few days. ๐Ÿ’ผ Today, weโ€™re moving to fully invest the remaining cash, as the setup looks increasingly supportive for equities heading into year-end. $QQQ (Invesco QQQ) $SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF) $TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF ) $VXX (iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term FuturesTM ETN) $BIL (SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF)