Stefan Uleia
A great year for AI 🤖📈 2025 was a strong year for investors even if it wasn’t a straight line up. More than ever, it was a year where strategy mattered more than predictions, especially during the seasonal volatility spikes like the “Liberation Day” whipsaw and the carry-trade driven selloffs that punished crowded positioning and weak risk control. Here’s what the recap shows on my side: My portfolio outperform the $SPX500 . I executed 340 trades, with 81% profitable trades and while win rate is nice, risk/reward and position sizing did the heavy lifting. Positioning stayed mainly in stocks, with limited crypto exposure, keeping the focus on areas where liquidity and fundamentals are strongest. Top contributors this year were $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) , $GOOG (Alphabet) , $TSLA (Tesla Motors, Inc.) , ORCL , and CRWD . Three key lessons from the year: First, on the most volatile days, I stayed disciplined flexible when needed, but always anchored to the strategy and that consistency paid off. Second, when market leadership was clear, I preferred structured exposure over constant switching. In my experience, fewer high-conviction ideas executed well tend to beat frantic activity over time. Third, the community was a highlight of the year: 2K+ reactions on posts, over 16,400 followers and over 1,500+ copiers, 𝐚 𝐛𝐢𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧𝐤 𝐲𝐨𝐮. You’re a core reason I run this portfolio: to help you access a thoughtfully managed strategy, built on process and information, not luck. I’m proud of what I’ve been able to deliver this year, not only the result, but how it was achieved: staying systematic through drawdown pressure, volatility spikes, and headline-driven rotations. Going into 2026, the market mood is decisively risk-on. A recent BofA fund manager survey shows sentiment at 7.4/10 (the most bullish in ~4.5 years), with equity + commodity exposure at the highest since Feb 2022, and cash near a record low (~3.3%). The macro “base case” is a soft landing (57%), while only 3% expect a hard landing. In other words: “What bears?” 🐻 As always, I’m looking forward and planning ahead, and I genuinely believe 2026 could be a much greater year. Not because markets only go up, but because I’m focused on preparing for multiple scenarios and executing a repeatable process rather than reacting emotionally to headlines. I still believe AI remains one of the biggest innovation waves ahead, but I also believe it has entered a maturing phase. That matters because in a maturing cycle, the best opportunities often start to broaden beyond the most overcrowded names. When volatility hits, diversification can pay off especially if leadership rotates from pure narrative to execution, cashflows, and balance-sheet strength. For 2026, I’m still focusing on a few big themes that look structurally strong: the continued AI buildout, the repricing of energy and power as demand keeps climbing, and demographic-driven trends that can support long-term real asset demand. We’ve also seen the Fed move in a more expansionary direction with cuts, and besides the key sectors above, I’ll be looking at some higher-beta quality names including selective small caps that could benefit if conditions stay constructive. One major factor I’m watching closely for tech-stock volatility is the Bank of Japan. If the BoJ continues hiking and signals more hikes ahead, the carry trade will be affected and that can spill into global risk assets. When carry trades get pressured, overcrowded positions often see fast, mechanical volatility. This doesn’t mean “bear market.” It means the path can get bumpier and that’s exactly where risk management and portfolio structure matter most. Most importantly, I remain committed to acting in the best interest of copiers and to building this community further not only by sharing results, but by sharing the thinking, the risk framework, and the lessons from both good and difficult periods. The goal is to keep improving the process, stay transparent, and compound over the long run, together. 👍
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