Rudolf De Leeuw @RudolfDeLeeuw: "🚀 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗳𝗶𝗿𝘀𝘁 𝟳 𝗱𝗮𝘆𝘀..."

Netherlands

🚀 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗳𝗶𝗿𝘀𝘁 𝟳 𝗱𝗮𝘆𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗻𝗲𝘄 𝘆𝗲𝗮𝗿 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗯𝗲𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗱 𝘂𝘀 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘄𝗲 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗼𝗳𝗳 𝘁𝗼 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝗻 𝗮 𝗳𝗹𝘆𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘁: +𝟯,𝟲𝟯%!. While both the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ 100 have started the year positively, our portfolio has performed approximately twice as well in percentage terms. We are already up more than 3.5 percent in just 3 trading days, reflecting a strong early outperformance versus the broader market 📈. Over the past three years, the portfolio has delivered a total return of more than 300 percent 💪. Despite that strong track record, we have never started a new year this strong before. That alone makes this opening particularly noteworthy 👀. Do I believe we will continue at this pace? Of course not 🙂. That would imply ending the year well above 200 percent, which is clearly unrealistic. However, do I believe this is a meaningful indicator of what we might expect this year? History suggests that the first week often provides a useful signal for the broader trend over the months ahead 🧭. In that sense, this start is not just strong, but also promising ✨. 🌍 From a macroeconomic perspective, inflation data is also moving in a very constructive direction. According to Truflation, its independent US inflation indexes for both CPI and PCE reached the 2 percent target on December 30 🎯. Moreover, these indicators continue to trend lower into 2026, driven by easing inflation in food, gasoline, and housing, with rents in particular showing clear signs of softening 🏠. This is important news for markets 💡. Sustained progress toward the inflation target significantly increases the likelihood of further interest rate cuts in the United States 📉. Lower interest rates reduce borrowing costs, make capital cheaper and more accessible, and improve the conditions for companies to invest, expand, and raise growth capital more efficiently 🚀. Historically, this combination has been a strong tailwind for both economic growth and equity markets. 🌐 Beyond the markets, the first week of the year has already been eventful on the geopolitical front. We have seen Donald Trump intensify his rhetoric, including strong statements regarding Venezuela. Officially framed as anti-drug measures, the underlying focus on oil once again highlights how geopolitics and energy remain closely connected ⛽. 🏦 At the same time, investors are closely watching developments at the Federal Reserve. A new Fed Chair is expected to be announced later this month, and prediction markets point to an exceptionally tight race. According to traders on Kalshi, Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh are currently running neck and neck 🤝, each with roughly a 40 percent probability to succeed Jerome Powell. President Trump has indicated that his decision will be made sometime in January 🗓️. As always, macroeconomic forces, monetary policy, and geopolitical developments will continue to influence market sentiment 🔍. For now, the year has started exceptionally well, both for the broader markets and for our portfolio. Combined with improving inflation dynamics, this sets a very constructive backdrop for the months ahead 💥. 🙏 If you appreciate these updates, a like is always appreciated. It helps the post reach more people and motivates me to keep investing time and effort into sharing transparent portfolio insights. $DJ30 $NSDQ100 $SPX500 $RTY $BTC

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