Pierre Neuman
❄️ IS THE MARKET COOLING DOWN ? ❄️ Mid-January is often when markets feel easy. Strong momentum. Green screens. Confidence everywhere. But our machine-learning regime model is showing a different picture — and that’s exactly when risk management matters most. Here’s a transparent update on where we stand, what the model sees, and how we’ve positioned 👇 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📊 PERFORMANCE SNAPSHOT (YTD) • Our portfolio: +4.79% • $NSDQ100: +1.38% ➡️ Outperformance: +3.41% Solid performance — but how returns are generated matters more than the headline. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🧠 REGIME UPDATE — WHY WE ADJUSTED Our regime-aware ML model currently signals: • Score: 70 / 100 (lowest since early December, and declining ❄️) • Still in bullish territory, but less complacent • Volatility risk rising beneath the surface ➡️ We slightly reduced Nasdaq-100 exposure this month ➡️ Increased diversification and portfolio ballast This is not about predicting crashes. It’s about adapting before risk shows up in prices. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔍 JANUARY PICKS — WHAT’S CONTRIBUTING Some contributors so far this month 👇 • $MU (Micron Technology, Inc.) — cyclical recovery + AI exposure • $WDC (Western Digital Corporation) / $STX — storage cycle recovery • $LRCX (Lam Research Corp) / $AVGO (Broadcom Inc) — high-quality semiconductor exposure • $PPFB.DE (iShares Physical Gold ETC) — gold as a volatility stabilizer • $XAD6.DE (Xtrackers Physical Silver ETC ) — silver diversification • $BTC — controlled allocation for asymmetric upside • $AMZN (Amazon.com Inc) / $GOOG (Alphabet) — selectively sized quality tech Not everything moves at once — and that’s the point. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🛡️ WHAT THIS STRATEGY OPTIMIZES FOR • Protect capital when regimes deteriorate • Participate when momentum is real • Avoid emotional over-exposure during “easy” markets • Compound across full market cycles, not headlines ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💬 QUESTION FOR YOU How are you reading the current market regime? Bullish, cautious, or somewhere in between? 👇 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔗 NEW HERE? DIVE DEEPER • Strategy + how to copy optimally: etoro.tw/4hPrBiO • Last model upgrade: etoro.tw/4rBGpqW • Detailed performance: bullaware.com/etoro/PierreN2023 • Shark Tank story: etoro.tw/492fU5o • eToro Quantitative Investment Program: etoro.tw/4shY3QQ ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Markets change. Our machine-learning models adapt. We compound with discipline 💚🚀 — PierreN2023 Member of the eToro Quantitative Investment Program