Wesley Nolte
United Kingdom
๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜โ€™๐˜€ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐Ÿš€ The past weekโ€™s trading session was marked by resilience. Despite the ongoing US government shutdown and other geopolitical noise, major US indices pushed toward record levels. The $SPX500 and Nasdaq set new allโ€‘time highs as investors digested a flood of earnings reports and good progress on USโ€“China trade relations. For me, the standout earnings news came from $GOOG (Alphabet), which delivered the first $ 100 billion revenue quarter in its history, reinforcing the idea that AI and cloud computing continue to drive tech-sector momentum. Overall thereโ€™s a sense that the market is climbing a wall of worry. ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—”๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐— ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐Ÿ“ˆ * $MELI (MercadoLibre Inc) - Iโ€™ve added on strength as the election noise fades and the Latin American commerce/fintech economy is still growing in the double digits. * I traded my cash hoard for $ BIL + $ TLT. These are bond ETFs (paying โ€œdividendsโ€) that are focussed on very different durations. Think of these almost as โ€œcash with benefitsโ€. * $BABA (Alibaba-ADR) - the stock is ~70% YTD on cloud/AI, firmer core commerce, and easing USโ€“China tensions. The Trump-Xi meeting works in favour of this stock. * Google is at ATHs for a reason. Ads are back to low-teens growth, cloud growth is incredible, and CAPEX is aimed at AI infra. * $AMZN (Amazon.com Inc) AWS re-accelerated with sales +20% to $ 33B; company revenue $ 180.2B (+13%) with Q4 guide $ 206โ€“213B. AI infra spend is a big risk, but the market liked the growth and the stock has popped today. * Apple: Q4 beat with revenue +8%; record iPhone + record Services (Apple Music, App Store etc.) into the holidays. Itโ€™s looking a touch expensive, but the best companies often are. * Microsoft - Azure +40%, Microsoft Cloud +26% signalling that AI demand is still outrunning capacity. ๐—Ÿ๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—”๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿ”ญ Big tech largely cleared the bar set by the market. Now itโ€™s time to focus on future guidance, and capex (how much theyโ€™re spending). My stock market base case: optimistic but picky with some hedging. Iโ€™ll add on dips, sell on spikes, and keep some ammo ready.
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