Subject: Market Summary
Dear investors,
This week the market continues to edge higher, with $SPX500 futures up around 0.1–0.3%. Attention is now on upcoming inflation data—PPI later today and CPI tomorrow—where expectations are for a 0.3% increase.
This follows yesterday’s downbeat news that payrolls were weaker than expected after the Bureau of Statistics revised prior payroll data lower by over 900k.
So why are markets still resilient in the face of softer labour data? The current theme is that weaker data increases the likelihood of the next Fed cut—markets are now even talking about a possible 50bp move. Ironically, the worse the data looks, the more support markets expect.
That said, this dynamic could backfire: if we only see a 25bp cut, markets may feel they overshot expectations, potentially triggering a pullback. For now, we’re holding some cash and may increase that position over the next month in anticipation.
Thanks,
TJ
⸻
Copy Trading is not investment advice | Capital at risk | Past performance does not guarantee future results.... Show More
Thanks Thomas, as usual great progress.
I agree working within an environment where you can continuously learn, interact with peers is always better than living in an ivory tower ... Show More
Hi Tomas and ty for the analysis. Quite interesting view that explains the current state and movements sufficiently. Could the markets’ resilience to soft labor data be signaling that investors expect peak inflation is already behind us?…just an assumption since we need a ‘supporter’ for current prices... Show More
Hi Thomas. Re: 'we're holding some cash'. Within my own 'copy' investment is there a way for me to see the percentage cash I'm holding vs how much I have invested? There's a net value vs invested figure but the difference seems to show my total profit, not cash holding vs... Show More
Hi Thomas! One question from my side. Would it be possible to suggest periods when it would be recommended to add more deposits based on the status of the market?... Show More
Hi Thomas — thanks for sharing your strategy. I’m thinking of copying you and want to plan properly. Could you recommend a minimum starting amount so that, taking eToro fees/spreads into account, the copier is unlikely to lose money purely because of fees (not due to market moves)? A few more details... Show More
Congrats on your performance Thomas, been following you for quite some time now and I very much admire your approach!.
Any advice for me as someone who is just starting out on the Popular Investor Program? Would be keen to understand what works best for you to gain your first copiers and build up your... Show More
Hi Thomas. Absolutely love your work here. Any thoughts on the deal between Paramount and WB, and how would you feel about the position on nflx? ... Show More
Hi Thomas,
interesting take — I agree that the current “bad news is good news” narrative has been a key driver of resilience in the markets. However, I think there’s a risk in relying too heavily on the Fed-cut expectation as the main support. Monetary easing can cushion, but if weaker payrolls turn... Show More
Hello Thomas,
I wanted to ask if there is any social media platform or any program where you share the stocks you plan to buy or anything like that? Because the LinkedIn link is not working, or the page seems to have been removed from the platform.
Thanks,... Show More
Hi Thomas,
I was lucky enough to start copying you before the $20k minimum and currently have $3k in your copy portfolio. I want to be able to add and potentially withdraw at some stage, some but not all of my monies, my question is if i end up say having $30,000 in my portfolio, then want to drawdown... Show More
Hi TJ thanks for the good work you put into this. I want to check why your gain is 40% this year and mine only is 20% but copied you starting December last year. Apart from that do we need to wait signal from when to invest more to synchronize? ... Show More
2 replies
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Mon Nov 17 2025 05:44:48 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
