Diego Dattilo
πŸ“Š Last week, the markets received two major macroeconomic signals that could influence the next decisions by the Federal Reserve and the ECB. More than any single data point, what really matters is the bigger picture. For a long-term investor, understanding the direction of the economy is far more important than reacting to daily market noise. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ In the United States, only 57,000 jobs were created in June, well below the 115,000 expected. This suggests a cooling labor market and has significantly reduced the probability of another Fed rate hike, with markets now pricing in only about a 17% chance of a hike at the next meeting. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί In Europe, inflation continues to ease. βœ… Headline CPI (June): 2.8% (vs. 3.0% expected) βœ… Core CPI: 2.4% (vs. 2.6% expected) βœ… Economic Sentiment Index: 95.0, above expectations. These figures strengthen the case for a more cautious ECB in the coming months. Markets responded positively: πŸ“ˆ S&P 500 +1.76% πŸ“ˆ Dow Jones +1.97%, reaching new all-time highs. 🟑 Gold +1.5% πŸ›’οΈ WTI Crude Oil -2.5% πŸ“‰ VIX declined from 18.40 to 16.14, signaling lower market volatility. Attention now turns to this week’s key events: πŸ“… Eurozone Retail Sales πŸ“… US ISM Services PMI πŸ“… China’s Inflation Data πŸ“… US Jobless Claims πŸ“… FOMC Minutes, which should provide more insight into how the Federal Reserve viewed inflation before the latest weak labor market report. βΈ» These events may increase short-term volatility. That is precisely why I continue to believe in the strength of global diversification. My portfolio is currently allocated as follows: 🌍 89.10% ETFs πŸ“ˆ 7.38% Stocks β‚Ώ 3.51% Cryptocurrencies My objective is not to predict the next macroeconomic release or guess the Fed’s next move. The objective is to build a portfolio capable of navigating every market environment while reducing dependence on any single event, sector, or country. That is why I continue investing with a long-term perspective, without chasing headlines or trying to time the market. If this investment philosophy resonates with you and you’d like to see how I apply these principles in practice, you can learn more here: πŸ‘‰ bullaware.com/etoro/p49sxpfz7y $SPX500 $NSDQ100 $CHINA50 $BTC @p49sxpfz7y This content reflects my personal investment approach and is not financial advice. Copying a Popular Investor involves risk, including the possible loss of capital. Every investor should independently assess whether this strategy suits their own objectives. πŸ“Š Poll After the latest macroeconomic data, what do you expect over the next few months?
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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