Quick markets update.
The US cut interest rates much in line with expectations and has a road map for further cuts. It seems right now the most likely trend will be continuing high US stock values against a background of rising inflation and falling USD value. This is going to be something to watch for in real returns from a European perspective, I can see a scenario where S&P could go up another 5% while USD drops a further 10% against the Euro. However with Europe facing its own challenges that is far from certain. Also its definitely possible the smart money will look to emerging markets for the double value of both currency and stock prices, this looks an attractive risk/reward at the moment.
It is quite interesting times at the moment and things could play out in wildly different scenarios, including ones I've not considered! I do feel the shifting sands at the moment and having both US stocks and the USD at this level seems unsustainable and one or the other will give way in the medium term
$SPX500$EURUSD$NSDQ100... Show More
Paul,
I am copying you with a small amount to see how we go, but I like your bio and strategy/market updates and the portfolio is really interesting!
I have a question - when you decide to hold cash for whatever reason, does that mean that the same % of my copy investment is also held as cash? It... Show More
Great point, the divergence between US equities strength and USD weakness feels unsustainable. Emerging markets could indeed be the surprise beneficiary if capital seeks both growth and currency upside.... Show More
How US-markets will growing if pay a lot of duty costs for important raws? That only brings deep market values.... Show More
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Fri Nov 07 2025 12:31:09 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
