Comprare Bitcoin a fine 2026?
Secondo alcuni potrebbe essere il momento migliore del ciclo.
Ma è davvero così semplice?
Il grafico mostra un pattern che molti investitori crypto conoscono bene.
Dopo ogni halving, Bitcoin sembra attraversare quattro fasi:
• Bear market.
• Pre-bull market.
• Primo impulso rialzista.
• Seconda fase esplosiva.
Osservando i cicli precedenti, il 2026 assomiglia ai periodi del 2014, 2018 e 2022.
Anni di forte correzione e consolidamento.
Secondo questa teoria, il 2027 segnerebbe l’inizio di un nuovo ciclo rialzista.
E il 2028-2029 potrebbe rappresentare la fase di maggiore accelerazione.
𝗠𝗮 𝗰’è 𝘂𝗻 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗯𝗹𝗲𝗺𝗮.
I mercati non sono obbligati a ripetere il passato.
Oggi Bitcoin è molto diverso rispetto ai cicli precedenti.
Ci sono ETF spot, acquisti da parte delle aziende, interesse istituzionale e un contesto macroeconomico completamente nuovo.
Tutti fattori che potrebbero modificare il comportamento storico del mercato.
Per questo motivo, usare i cicli come bussola può essere utile.
Considerarli una certezza, invece, può essere molto pericoloso.
𝗟𝗮 𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝗶𝗮 𝗳𝗮 𝗿𝗶𝗺𝗮. 𝗠𝗮 𝗻𝗼𝗻 𝘀𝗶 𝗿𝗶𝗽𝗲𝘁𝗲 𝗺𝗮𝗶 𝗶𝗻 𝗺𝗼𝗱𝗼 𝗶𝗱𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗼.
Secondo voi il ciclo quadriennale di Bitcoin continuerà a funzionare oppure questa volta sarà diverso?
$BTC@ZaraBullish... Show More Translate
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
Gli eventi che abbiamo osservato costituiscono un prezioso patrimonio di informazioni, il futuro, tuttavia, continuerà a essere influenzato dall'irrazionalità dei comportamenti umani.... Show More Translate
Hi,
The four-year cycle is an interesting framework, but I think it's best used as a reference rather than a prediction. With growing institutional adoption and a changing market environment, this cycle could look different from the previous ones.
Take care... Show More
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