Neza Molk
๐๐ˆ๐† ๐“๐„๐‚๐‡ ๐„๐€๐‘๐๐ˆ๐๐†๐’ ๐–๐„๐„๐Š ๐€๐‡๐„๐€๐ƒ ๐Ÿ‘€ Last week was once again shaped by political headlines. U.S. tariff threats tied to Greenland pushed markets into fear. As the week progressed, those threats were paused under a NATO โ€œframeworkโ€ discussion, helping stabilize sentiment. By Friday, markets had largely recovered from the initial shock, although volatility stayed. Letโ€™s hope this week will be shaped by companies' earnings reports. ๐”.๐’.๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Stocks sold off sharply last week after President Trump announced potential tariffs on European countries opposing U.S. control or purchase of Greenland. The move raised concerns about a wider trade conflict and created uncertainty that markets struggled to price. Sentiment improved after Trump said a framework agreement with NATO had been reached and confirmed that tariffs planned for February 1 would not be implemented. Stocks rebounded, finishing the week above their lows. Macro data remained supportive. Third-quarter GDP growth was revised slightly higher to 4.4% annualized, driven by stronger exports and investment. Core PCE inflation stayed at 2.8% year over year, still above the Federal Reserveโ€™s target. Jobless claims remained near multi-year lows. Consumer sentiment improved in January, although it remained clearly below last yearโ€™s level. The 10-year U.S. yield briefly moved higher during the week, while the dollar weakened despite strong growth data. ๐„๐ฎ๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐ž๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ European equity markets ended the week lower. The STOXX Europe 600 fell around 1%, with declines across Germany, France, Italy, and the UK, reflecting trade and geopolitical uncertainty. Economic data was more stable. Eurozone business activity stayed in expansion, with the composite PMI holding at 51.5 and business optimism reaching a 20-month high. In the UK, PMI data pointed to stronger activity, but the labor market remained weak. Unemployment stayed elevated, wage growth slowed, and inflation rose to 3.4%, even as retail sales volumes improved in December. ๐‰๐š๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Long-term Japanese government bond yields stayed very high, which is important because Japan is one of the largest global investors in foreign bonds, including U.S. Treasuries. When yields at home rise, Japanese investors have less reason to send money abroad. During the week, the yen strengthened against the U.S. dollar, partly as investors closed short positions. The Bank of Japan kept its policy unchanged, but markets remain focused on Japanโ€™s large government debt and the risk that higher domestic yields could reduce global demand for U.S. and European bonds. ๐‚๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐Ÿ๐จ๐œ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐Ÿ“Œ ๐ˆ๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ฅ โ€“ Beat Q4 expectations but guided Q1 revenue and earnings below forecasts due to supply constraints, triggering a sharp pullback after a strong rally. ๐๐ž๐ญ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฑ โ€“ Exceeded subscriber expectations, but shares fell after pausing buybacks to preserve cash ahead of a Warner-related transaction and lowering 2026 margin guidance. ๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ข๐š โ€“ Traded volatile amid tariff headlines and reports of CEO plans to visit China, highlighting ongoing supply-chain sensitivity. ๐Œ๐ž๐ญ๐š ๐๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐ฌ โ€“ Rebounded later in the week as markets stabilized, supported by analyst commentary on valuation versus peers. ๐“๐ž๐ฌ๐ฅ๐š โ€“ Shares rose after Elon Musk discussed timelines for humanoid robots and robotaxis, adding to headline-driven momentum. ๐€๐›๐›๐จ๐ญ๐ญ ๐‹๐š๐›๐จ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ โ€“ Fell sharply after nutrition sales missed expectations, with volumes declining despite price cuts. ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅ ๐Ž๐ง๐ž โ€“ Announced a more than $5 billion acquisition of fintech firm Brex, split evenly between cash and stock. ๐Š๐ซ๐š๐Ÿ๐ญ ๐‡๐ž๐ข๐ง๐ณ โ€“ Shares declined after filings suggested Berkshire Hathaway may reduce its stake. ๐–๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฐ๐š๐ญ๐œ๐ก ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ค๐Ÿ“… Markets will focus on renewed trade headlines, including a potential Canada tariff threat and the risk of a U.S. government shutdown. Consumer confidence data is released Tuesday. The Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday. Major tech earnings arrive mid-week, with Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla reporting Wednesday and Apple on Thursday. Producer price inflation data follows on Friday. Trade safe! Nezatron $NSDQ100 $SPX500 $DJ30
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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