Alberto Poli
๐˜ฟ๐™š๐™–๐™ง ๐˜พ๐™ค๐™ฅ๐™ž๐™š๐™ง๐™จ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™๐™ค๐™ก๐™ก๐™ค๐™ฌ๐™š๐™ง๐™จ, ๐™ฌ๐™š๐™ก๐™˜๐™ค๐™ข๐™š ๐™—๐™–๐™˜๐™ . Hereโ€™s what moved the markets this week: ๐Ÿญ. ๐™’๐™€๐˜ผ๐™† ๐™.๐™Ž. ๐™๐™๐™€๐˜ผ๐™Ž๐™๐™๐™” ๐˜ผ๐™๐˜พ๐™๐™„๐™Š๐™‰ ๐˜ผ๐™‰๐˜ฟ ๐™„๐™‰๐™‘๐™€๐™Ž๐™๐™Š๐™ ๐˜พ๐™Š๐™‰๐˜พ๐™€๐™๐™‰๐™Ž The 20-year U.S. Treasury auction showed weaker-than-expected demand, raising alarms about Americaโ€™s public finances. The Treasury issued $16 billion in bonds, but investor interest was lukewarm. The yield started at 5.047%โ€”above the pre-auction rateโ€”and climbed to 5.127%, the highest since November 2023. Major stock indices dropped. This reflects growing worries over U.S. debt. Moodyโ€™s recently joined Fitch and S&P in downgrading the U.S. sovereign credit rating. Investors fear a new tax and spending bill could swell the deficit further. Estimates say public debt could rise by $3.3 trillion by 2034โ€”or more than $5 trillion if some temporary measures continue. The real problem isnโ€™t just the debt amount, but the lack of a credible plan to control it. Confidence in U.S. debtโ€”a historic safe havenโ€”is weakening. More bonds may force higher yields, impacting the broader economy. ๐Ÿฎ. ๐™’๐˜ผ๐™‡๐™ˆ๐˜ผ๐™๐™ ๐˜ผ๐™‰๐˜ฟ ๐™๐™ƒ๐™€ ๐™’๐™€๐˜ผ๐™† ๐˜พ๐™Š๐™‰๐™Ž๐™๐™ˆ๐™€๐™ ๐™€๐˜พ๐™Š๐™‰๐™Š๐™ˆ๐™” Walmart, a key U.S. economic indicator, warned it may raise prices due to new import tariffs. Although it gained from reduced duties on some Chinese goods, margins remain tight. This is notable because Walmart usually keeps prices low through efficiency. Data supports this slowdown. Retail sales rose only 0.1% in April, down sharply from Marchโ€™s 1.7% gain. Manufacturing production fell 0.4%, and vehicle output dropped 1.9%. The producer price index fell 0.5%โ€”its worst since 2020โ€”showing companies are absorbing costs to keep customers, but this may not last. ๐Ÿฏ. ๐™๐™๐™๐™ˆ๐™‹: ๐™๐˜ผ๐™๐™„๐™๐™๐™Ž, ๐™๐˜ผ๐™“๐™€๐™Ž, ๐˜ผ๐™‰๐˜ฟ ๐™‰๐™๐˜พ๐™‡๐™€๐˜ผ๐™ ๐™€๐™‰๐™€๐™๐™‚๐™” Donald Trump reentered the spotlight with policies shaking markets. He threatened 50% tariffs on all European goods if no trade deal is reached by June 1 and warned Apple of a 25% tax if iPhone production isnโ€™t moved back to the U.S. Markets dropped sharply, especially in autos and luxury sectors. At the same time, Trump signed executive orders to revive the U.S. nuclear industry. The plan aims to simplify reactor regulations, strengthen uranium supply chains, and quadruple nuclear power output over 25 years. It targets growing energy needs in defense and AI and seeks to reduce reliance on Russia and China. ๐Ÿฐ. ๐™๐™€๐™‰๐™€๐™’๐˜ผ๐˜ฝ๐™‡๐™€ ๐™€๐™‰๐™€๐™๐™‚๐™” ๐™‹๐™๐™€๐™Ž๐™Ž๐™๐™๐™€: ๐™Ž๐™Š๐™‡๐˜ผ๐™ ๐™Ž๐™๐™Š๐˜พ๐™†๐™Ž ๐™๐˜ผ๐™‡๐™‡ Solar companies were hit hard after the House passed Trumpโ€™s tax bill, cutting many renewable subsidies, including the 30% federal tax credit for home solar installations. Stocks like Sunrun, SolarEdge, and Enphase fell 15% to 40%. The bill also shortens deadlines for wind and solar projects to qualify for tax breaks. The renewables sector now hopes the Senate will modify or block these rules to protect this vital energy transition sector. ๐Ÿฑ. ๐˜ฟ๐™Š๐™‡๐™‡๐˜ผ๐™ ๐˜ฟ๐™๐™Š๐™‹๐™Ž, ๐˜ฝ๐™„๐™๐˜พ๐™Š๐™„๐™‰ ๐™๐™„๐™Ž๐™€๐™Ž The dollar index fell 0.4% amid signs of U.S. economic weakness. Rising long-term bond yields and Treasury sales pushed investors toward alternatives. Gold stayed steady, while Bitcoin neared record highs, seen as a hedge against falling faith in fiat money and economic stability. Many investors watch long-term yields as a gauge of fiscal health. When confidence dips, rates rise, benefiting safe havens like gold and crypto. ๐˜พ๐™Š๐™‰๐˜พ๐™‡๐™๐™Ž๐™„๐™Š๐™‰๐™Ž This week exposed structural weaknesses in the U.S. economy. Debt keeps rising without a clear control plan, yields climb, and investor trust weakens. The expansive tax bill, trade tensions, and cuts to clean energy support risk worsening the outlook. Trumpโ€™s return and protectionist policies add uncertainty. His nuclear energy push aims at independence, but cuts to renewables clash with climate goals. Market movesโ€”higher volatility, a weaker dollar, rising VIX, and stronger alternative assetsโ€”reflect investor caution. The U.S. economy remains strong, but cracks are growing. The coming months will be critical to see if policymakers can restore confidence. Thank you for your support. $URA (Global X Uranium ETF) $BTC (Bitcoin) $AAPL (Apple) $RUN (Sunrun Inc.)
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