Nick Warrell
United Kingdom
๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ The FTSE 100 closed the month at a new all-time high above 9,300. This comes despite weaker business confidence, with firms citing higher employment costs and lower consumer demand. In Germany (DAX40), industrial, infrastructure, and defence names remain well supported by government stimulus. However, rising unemployment โ€“ higher than expected in September โ€“ is an ongoing concern for investors. The standout event was the 0.25% Federal Reserve rate cut, which gave fresh momentum to equities. The S&P 500 delivered an excellent performance, led by technology stocks and continued enthusiasm for AI. While valuations are increasingly stretched, the more immediate risk is the potential U.S. government shutdown. ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—ฃ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ: ๐˜Ž๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜บ: Rheinmetall ($RHM.DE (Rheinmetall AG) ) +10%, Airbus ($AIR.PA (AIRBUS SE) ) +10% ๐˜œ๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜’๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ: Fresnillo ($FRES.L (Fresnillo)) +22%, BAE Systems ($BA.L (BAE Systems plc )) +10%, Airtel Africa ($AAF.L (Airtel Africa Plc)) +10% ๐˜œ๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜š๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ด: Applovin ($APP (Applovin Corp)) +40%, Seagate ($STX.US (Seagate Technology PLC)) +40%, Corning ($GLW (Corning Inc)) +20% ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฃ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ: DAX 40 ($GER40): -0.9 FTSE 100 ($UK100): +1.75% S&P 500 ($SPX500): +3.9% ๐—ข๐˜‚๐˜๐—น๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ข๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ October has a reputation for volatility, because of past crashes like 1929 and 1987, making investors psychologically cautious. It also coincides with Q3 earnings season and institutional portfolio rebalancing, which can amplify swings. While historically September is weaker, October often acts as a turning point before the stronger Novemberโ€“April season. In the U.S., markets might be sensitive to progress (or lack thereof) on avoiding a government shutdown. In Europe, investors will watch manufacturing data closely as signs of slowdown persist. Any hints of further ECB (European Central Bank) support could influence sentiment. In the UK, the FTSEโ€™s record highs will be tested against ongoing domestic headwinds, particularly inflationary pressures on wages and consumers. Overall, momentum remains constructive, but risks around politics and macro data mean October could prove a โ€œtradersโ€™ marketโ€ rather than a smooth continuation of Septemberโ€™s strength. โš  Copy Trading is not investment advice | Capital at risk | Past performance does not guarantee future result
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