Gildas Omont
Private Credit vs S&P 500: Who’s Cracking Under Pressure? For 18 months, the S&P 500 (green) and private credit giant, BXSL (orange), ARCC (blue), and OBDC (red), moved in sync. Until summer 2025. Since September, the gap has widened: the S&P 500, fueled by AI, anticipated rate cuts, and mega-cap momentum, keeps climbing. Meanwhile, private credit is plunging, with losses reaching -40%. This market remains powerful but demands selectivity and timing. A correction of this scale can create opportunities—if approached with caution. $SPX500 $BXSL (Blackstone Secured Lending Fund) $ARCC (Ares Capital Corp) $OBDC (Blue Owl Capital Corporation)
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