Davide Marcotti
Davide Marcotti
United Arab Emirates
Good morning legends β˜€οΈ Weed out the noise. Here's your selection of the real key market movers of the last 24 hours 🌍 Macro 🟒🟒 Treasury Secretary Bessent told CNBC a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz could land today or tomorrow, sending WTI $OIL crashing 5.7% to $75.77 as geopolitical risk evaporated. 🟒 Gold jumped 1.4% to $4,152 per ounce on the back of falling oil and a softer dollar β€” hard assets continue to decouple from energy. πŸ”΄ ADP private payrolls missed consensus in the latest read, adding fresh uncertainty to Friday's nonfarm payrolls and keeping Fed cut expectations volatile. πŸ”΄ Fed Chair Warsh told the ECB Forum that prices are too high and offered zero signal on the July meeting, reinforcing the higher-for-longer setup. 🟒 Australian equities hit a fresh record high with the ASX 200 up 0.7% to 9,291, driven by miners rallying 2.2% on US-Iran peace hopes. 🟒 Treasury yields climbed back above 4.7% on the 10-year as markets recalibrate rate cut odds ahead of this week's jobs data. πŸ“ˆ Crypto 🟒 Bitcoin $BTC held steady near $64,000 despite global risk-on sentiment, staying just below the key $64,300 breakout level as Hormuz talks dominate. 🟒 Sui $SUI ecosystem saw wallet infrastructure advances as Cloudflare opened handle claims for AI agents, signaling growing on-chain utility for programmable wallets. βœ… in the portfolio 🟒 Institutional crypto flows remain resilient with crypto-backed PACs directing hundreds of thousands into pro-crypto congressional candidates in Michigan and Washington primaries. 🟠 Crypto dumped alongside tech in recent weeks on AI bubble fears, but stabilized after risk assets bounced β€” the correlation to Nasdaq remains uncomfortably tight. 🟒 Stablecoin payment rails are expanding as Cloudflare rolls out x402 payments and programmable spending controls, building the infrastructure for autonomous agent economies. 🟒 Despite 69% of surveyed Russians seeing no practical crypto use, a new Russian law creates licensed trading and custody starting September β€” regulatory creep continues. 🏦 TradFi πŸ”΄πŸ”΄ SpaceX cratered 14% despite crushing earnings as $101 billion of shares became eligible for trading, flooding supply and wiping out gains from the strong print. 🟒🟒 Nvidia $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) surged over 3% after Elon Musk announced SpaceX would exclusively use Nvidia processors for all future AI computing infrastructure builds. βœ… in the portfolio 🟒 The Dow notched its fifth straight positive session and a fresh all-time high at 54,349, up 0.49%, driven by strength in Nvidia and resilient earnings. πŸ”΄ AMD slid despite beating analyst estimates, continuing the bizarre pattern of chipmakers selling off on strong results as investors demand perfection in the AI trade. 🟒 Disney and Eli Lilly both beat expectations and lifted sentiment, broadening the rally beyond mega-cap tech and validating the case for multiple expansion. 🟒 The S&P 500 $SPX500 topped 7,700 earlier in the session before pulling back 0.17% to 7,723 as profit-taking hit tech after a $3.7 trillion four-day rally. βœ… in the portfolio πŸ€– AI & Tech 🟒🟒 Elon Musk's declaration that SpaceX will only use Nvidia chips is a massive endorsement of the AI infrastructure thesis and validates the hyperscaler capex trajectory. 🟒 Palantir posted what CEO Alex Karp called "otherworldly" Q2 results driven by AI sovereignty demand, notching its best day in over two years and proving enterprise AI adoption is real. πŸ”΄ The semiconductor index fell 1.4% despite Nvidia's strength, showing fatigue in the chip trade as investors rotate and question whether the AI rally has run too far too fast. 🟒 Amazon Web Services revenue surged 37% year-over-year in its fastest growth in 18 quarters, with management raising 2026 capex guidance to $220 billion for AI infrastructure. πŸ”΄ Apple shares slipped after management projected lower-than-expected revenue growth and cited supply constraints and rising component costs from AI-related supply-demand imbalances. 🟒 Big Tech is collectively projected to deploy $325 billion in capex this year with the lion's share going to AI infrastructure β€” that's the liquidity fueling this entire rally. The geopolitical thaw is shifting the liquidity narrative from energy scarcity back to AI capex dominance. @Tori , anything else I have missed? Stay sharp - follow if you want the key market movers in your feed every morning πŸ™
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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