Fabio De Oliveira Vianna
πŸ›’οΈ THE US–IRAN OIL WAR β€” What's Happening? On February 28, 2026, the US and Israel launched "Operation Epic Fury" β€” a coordinated surprise attack on Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and dozens of top officials. Encyclopedia Britannica Iran hit back hard. Since then, Iran has fired over 500 ballistic missiles and nearly 2,000 drones at US targets and Israel. Wikipedia The critical flashpoint: the Strait of Hormuz β€” through which about 20% of the world's daily oil supply passes β€” has been effectively shut down since the conflict began. Wikipedia Oil prices surged above $100/barrel β€” the biggest disruption to global energy supplies in a generation. Al Jazeera The war is cutting global oil supply by roughly 8 million barrels per day in March, according to the IEA. CNBC Goldman Sachs warns prices could rise beyond the 2022 peak of $127/barrel β€” or even the all-time high of $147. Time πŸ’° HOW CAN WE PROFIT FROM THIS? βœ… Our strategy: The market selloff creates rare opportunities to buy QUALITY stocks at discounted prices. That's exactly what we're doing this month πŸ‘‡ πŸ“Š THIS MONTH WE ARE BUYING DIPS ON 5 POSITIONS: 🟠 1. ADS.DE β€” Adidas AG (Frankfurt) Adidas posted record 2025 revenues of €24.8B with a historically high gross margin of 51.6%, and launched a €1B share buyback for 2026. adidas Group 34 analysts forecast 2026 revenue of €27.1B (+9% YoY), with net profit estimated to surge 43% to €1.94B. Stocksguide P/E stands at just 14.56x β€” extremely attractive for a global brand. Eulerpool The stock was hammered by tariff fears (~€400M headwind) but the FIFA World Cup 2026 is a massive upcoming catalyst. Analyst long-term targets range from €205–€274. This is a premium brand trading at a discount. πŸƒ 🟒 2. ONON β€” On Holding AG (NYSE) On Holding's investment case is defined by outsized growth and strong brand fundamentals β€” it has carved a defensible position in the premium performance segment. Yahoo Finance On Holding targets affluent Gen Z and urban professionals with its CloudTec, Cloudmonster, and LightSpray technologies, operating a premium-pricing model that protects margins and brand equity. TradingView Revenue grew 41% YoY with industry-leading 65% gross margins. Zacks #1 Strong Buy. Currently ~$41. A future giant in sportswear. πŸ‘Ÿ 🏦 3. ADCB.DH β€” Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank (ADX) ADCB posted Q4 2025 EPS of 0.4194 β€” 20% above forecasts β€” with full-year net profit of AED 11.4B, up 22% YoY, and return on equity of 15.3%. Investing.com Dividend yield stands at 5.11%, and the bank is executing an AI transformation program while improving its cost-to-income ratio. Investing.com Analysts have set targets as high as 24.60 AED, versus a current price of ~12.32 AED. TradingView A world-class bank on sale due to regional war risk. πŸ’Ž βœ… 4. NKE β€” Nike, Inc. (NYSE) Jefferies named Nike its #1 large-cap pick for 2026, citing a clean inventory position, wholesale relationship restoration, and the company's upcoming Dividend Aristocrat status after 25 consecutive years of dividend increases. FinancialContent 63 Wall Street analysts set a median price target of $84 (vs. current ~$56 β€” 30%+ upside), with an overall Strong Buy (8.1/10) consensus. Ticker Nerd The FIFA World Cup 2026 is the next major catalyst. A legendary brand at a generational entry point. πŸ† πŸ“ˆ 5. IQQL.DE β€” iShares Listed Private Equity UCITS ETF (XETRA) This BlackRock ETF tracks the S&P Listed Private Equity Index, giving exposure to large, liquid private equity companies from North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific, with a 0.75% total expense ratio. justETF It's a smart, cost-efficient way to get PE exposure without being a direct LP investor. Pulling back with global markets β€” a quality dip opportunity. πŸ“¦ πŸ’Ό CASH RESERVE: We still hold 7.5% cash β€” ready to deploy on further dips or new opportunities as the geopolitical situation evolves. Flexibility is our edge! ⚑ πŸ–₯️ EXCITING NEWS β€” I'M BUILDING MY OWN PLATFORM! Some of you noticed I've been a bit quieter lately. Here's why β€” I've been heads-down building CapPortfolioIQ, a professional investing platform for serious investors! What it will do: πŸ”Ή Real-time portfolio analysis & tracking πŸ”Ή Live stock & ETF quotes πŸ”Ή Quantitative calculations to evaluate stocks (DCF, ratios, screeners) πŸ”Ή Full stock & ETF screener The honest challenge: Getting clean, reliable, FREE financial data through APIs is genuinely hard. The paid APIs are very expensive, and building free data pipelines takes serious engineering work. I'm almost there though! πŸ’ͺ πŸ‘‰ Track the progress: www.capportfolioiq.com/ $NSDQ100 $NKE (NIKE) $ADS.DE (Adidas AG) $SPX500
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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