Ronny Wild
Ronny Wild
Switzerland
๐—ช๐—ต๐˜† ๐—œ ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ฆ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ (๐—ฆ๐—ก๐——๐—ž) โ€” ๐—ฎ ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฎ ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ธ. SNDK $SNDK (Sandisk Corp/DE) is in the live portfolio. Equal-weighted at 6.67%, sized like every other name. The screen scores (TTM vs broad GICS Information Technology sector, n=71): โ€ข Revenue growth +80% vs +15% sector median โ€ข Net margin 34% vs 18% sector โ€” 1.9x โ€ข EBITDA margin 43% vs 29% sector โ€” and ahead of every U.S.-listed storage & memory peer we track For storage industry context: Micron is the closest comparable name, growing revenue +85% TTM. Seagate and Western Digital are at +29% and +9% respectively. SNDK's EBITDA margin leads all three. Why now? Three coincident drivers: 1) AI training workloads shifting to high-capacity SSDs 2) Long-term customer agreements locking in volume 3) Limited near-term NAND supply elasticity The moat isn't "they make NAND." It's the Kioxia joint venture โ€” access to fab capacity at the world's #2 NAND producer without funding the capex alone. Structurally lower-cost capacity ramp than peers building their own gigafactories. Forward P/E 23x against ~65% expected EPS growth is genuinely cheap relative to the trajectory. Quarterly EPS path: $1.80 โ†’ -$0.30 (spinoff quarter) โ†’ $1.22 โ†’ $6.20 โ†’ $23.41. TTM EPS now $31. Forward consensus implies ~$54 over the next 12 months. 20 analysts cover, 9 raised estimates in the last 30 days, zero cuts. Risks I'm watching: NAND pricing cycle, expected supply expansion from competitors in 2027, hyperscaler capex pace. The position came through our three-pillar process โ€” stock universe filter, equal-weight optimizer, risk overlay. Same discipline as every other holding. Full deep dive with charts, peer methodology, and catalyst dates: www.veloriscapital.com/cockpit/sandisk-sndk-deep-dive Past performance is not an indication of future results. Capital at risk.
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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SNDK
Sandisk Corp/DE
1559.32
-200.36 (-11.39%)
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