Nicolas Oddo
Nicolas Oddo
United Kingdom
๐Ÿ’ก ๐—ค๐˜‚๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐Ÿ’ก Dear followers and copiers, Below are my thoughts on the current market situation, and what I'm monitoring. ๐Ÿ“Œ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—จ๐—ฆ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—œ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜: Exactly one month ago, Trump said: "This Great Deal will bring Peace and Security to the whole Region. Many presidents have tried to make Peace with Iran, and all have failed before me. The Leaders of the Region have, for the first time, found a President who can help them achieve real Peace." As always, it turns out to be quite disconnected from the reality. $OIL ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐—น๐˜† ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ, and the US are reinstating tonight a blockade on Iranian ships. This has fueled some weakness and nervousness in the hot tech and semi stocks, as ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฎ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐˜† ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ. Here, once again I want to highlight that ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—น ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ธ๐—ฒ ๐˜‚๐˜€ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ป'๐˜ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„๐˜€, and also that the ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—น. Example: the 20% charge Trump said he would set for ships going through the Hormuz Strait, as a fair reimbursement of the US military involvement in the security of the region. This has now been replaced by promises of investments from the Gulf countries into the US. Therefore, it's ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ฟ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐˜† ๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฏ๐˜† ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฒ, unless something truly significant arises. ๐Ÿ“Œ ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฎ: The ๐—จ๐—ฆ ๐—–๐—ฃ๐—œ (Consumer Price Index) data for June was out today, and ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐˜€ ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜๐˜€, ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐Ÿฏ.๐Ÿฑ% (vs 4.2% last month and forecast of 3.8%). This is a great news and is fueling today's rally, as a rate hike in July now seems less likely. However, oil prices climbing back up means the inflation threat is still looming around, so I'm watching it closely. ๐Ÿ“Œ ๐—ค๐Ÿฎ ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ป: This is the most important thing I'm following (although I somehow kept it last for this post - a bit less hot of a news maybe?) ๐—ค๐Ÿฎ ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜† ๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐—ต ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—ด ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ธ๐˜€, and this is really what matters for the portfolio, as either: โœ… ๐—ฌ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ฟ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฎ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฑ, and you can buy more or hold โŒ ๐—ฆ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฏ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด and you should review your investment I'll update on the different key stocks in my portfolio as the time comes. As always, please let me know if you have any questions in the comments. Thank you, take care and trade safe! Nico $SPX500 $NSDQ100
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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