pino428
๐˜ฟ๐™š๐™–๐™ง ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฅ๐™ž๐™š๐™ง๐™จ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ก๐™ค๐™ฌ๐™š๐™ง๐™จ, ๐™ฌ๐™š๐™ก๐™˜๐™ค๐™ข๐™š ๐™—๐™–๐™˜๐™ . Today, we delve into the current U.S. economic strategy and Federal Reserve policies, analyzing key indicators such as growth, inflation, and the labor market. With the "Three Arrows" plan, the Trump administration aims to strengthen the economy through sustainable growth and controlled bond yields, while the Fed maintains a cautious approach regarding interest rate adjustments. What are the implications for financial markets and investors? Let's find out together. ๐™.๐™Ž. ๐™€๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™ค๐™ข๐™ž๐™˜ ๐™Ž๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™–๐™ฉ๐™š๐™œ๐™ฎ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™๐™š๐™™ ๐™‹๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™˜๐™ž๐™š๐™จ U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has clarified that the Trump administrationโ€™s goal is not to lower the Federal Reserve's interest rates but rather to reduce 10-year Treasury yields through sustainable economic growth and controlled inflation. The plan is based on three main pillars: โ€ข ๐™€๐™ก๐™š๐™ซ๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™.๐™Ž. ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™š๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™œ๐™ง๐™ค๐™ฌ๐™ฉ๐™ ๐™ง๐™–๐™ฉ๐™š from approximately 2% to 3% through a mix of tax cuts, deregulation, and the reshoring of manufacturing jobs via โ€œstrategic protectionism,โ€ while also reducing energy costs. โ€ข ๐™๐™š๐™™๐™ช๐™˜๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™.๐™Ž. ๐™—๐™ช๐™™๐™œ๐™š๐™ฉ ๐™™๐™š๐™›๐™ž๐™˜๐™ž๐™ฉ from over 6% of GDP this year to 3% by the end of Trumpโ€™s four-year term, leveraging stronger economic growth and cutting unnecessary government spending. โ€ข ๐™‡๐™ค๐™ฌ๐™š๐™ง๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™š๐™ฃ๐™š๐™ง๐™œ๐™ฎ ๐™˜๐™ค๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™จ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™˜๐™ช๐™ง๐™—๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™›๐™ก๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ expectations by increasing U.S. oil and gas production by 3 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, facilitated by deregulation and expanded access to drilling sites. This strategy aims to allow markets to determine bond yields independently, in stark contrast to Janet Yellenโ€™s past approach, which favored direct interventions to stabilize the financial system. ๐™€๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™ค๐™ข๐™ž๐™˜ ๐™‚๐™ง๐™ค๐™ฌ๐™ฉ๐™ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™„๐™ฃ๐™™๐™ช๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™ž๐™–๐™ก ๐˜พ๐™ฎ๐™˜๐™ก๐™š The economic cycle is accelerating, driven by a rebound in the manufacturing sector. Rising production orders indicate strong demand. While the services sector shows some weaknesses, it does not pose a significant concern as long as industrial activity remains robust. However, markets remain vulnerable to volatility stemming from Trumpโ€™s trade policies. ๐™„๐™ฃ๐™›๐™ก๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ, ๐™‡๐™–๐™—๐™ค๐™ง ๐™ˆ๐™–๐™ง๐™ ๐™š๐™ฉ, ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™„๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ง๐™š๐™จ๐™ฉ ๐™๐™–๐™ฉ๐™š๐™จ The latest January inflation report suggests that the Fed may keep interest rates elevated for longer than previously expected: โ€ข Monthly CPI: +0.5% (above the forecast of +0.3%) โ€ข Core CPI (monthly): +0.4% (vs. expected +0.3%) โ€ข Annual CPI: 3.0% (vs. forecasted 2.9%) โ€ข Core CPI (annual): 3.3% (vs. expected 3.1%) Food inflation is gaining momentum, and rising demand for raw materials could intensify as tariffs increase. Price hikes have affected various sectors, including housing, groceries, and pharmaceuticals. However, a slowdown in the housing market could help curb overall inflation. The Producer Price Index (PPI) for January shows that production costs rose by 0.4% month-over-month, exceeding expectations of 0.2%. On an annual basis, the increase stands at 3.5%. New data confirms the strength and resilience of the labor market. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has reiterated that the economy remains solid and that there is no urgency to cut interest rates. ๐™๐™ช๐™ฉ๐™ช๐™ง๐™š ๐™Š๐™ช๐™ฉ๐™ก๐™ค๐™ค๐™  Persistently high inflation and a strong labor market are prompting investors to reassess their expectations for rate cuts. Meanwhile, a 0.9% decline in January retail sales suggests that economic growth may slow in the first quarter. The most affected sectors were sporting goods, music, and books (-4.6%), while online purchases dropped by 1.9%. ๐˜พ๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™ก๐™ช๐™จ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ The U.S. economy is in an expansion phase but faces significant challenges due to persistent inflation and the Fedโ€™s monetary policy. Markets are recalibrating interest rate expectations, with a growing focus on cyclical assets and commodities. Gold and silver are experiencing strong growth, fueled by central bank purchases and economic uncertainty. At the same time, industrial metals such as copper are benefiting from the manufacturing rebound and protectionist policies, creating opportunities in the mining sector. Thank you for your support! $GOLD $SILVER $COPPER.FUT $OIL
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