Stelian Mitu
๐Ÿ“Š ๐— ๐—ฎ๐˜† ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ Hello everyone ๐Ÿ‘‹ I've spent most of the month sitting on cash, picking my spots, and stepping back from the louder corners of the market. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ต ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ (๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—น๐˜†) โœ“ Trading P/L: +๐Ÿฐ.๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿณ% โœ“ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ฐ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ: 12 winners, 4 losers (๐Ÿณ๐Ÿฑ% ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ) โœ“ Average holding period: about ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿญ ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜†๐˜€ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป At month-end, roughly two-thirds of the account sat in cash, with only four small positions still open ($MRVI $FTRE (Fortrea Holdings Inc) $FLNC (Fluence Energy Inc.) $AMBA (Ambarella Inc) plus a $VXX (iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term FuturesTM ETN) hedge). That's deliberate, not idle. Doing less is sometimes the trade. ๐—ช๐—ต๐˜† ๐—œ'๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ A lot of what's been working recently carries the fingerprints of a gamma squeeze: heavy short interest, options-driven momentum, and low-float names running well ahead of their fundamentals. Hydrogen, batteries and clean-energy small caps in particular. Names like $BLDP (Ballard Power Systems Inc.) +39% $EOSE (Eos Energy Enterprises Inc) +22% $PLUG (Plug Power Inc) $FCEL (FuelCell Energy Inc) fit that pattern; they can work nicely while the squeeze runs, but those moves often unwind sharply once positioning resets. I'd rather give up some upside and keep dry powder ready than chase the last leg and risk handing back the prior gains. That's my read; the squeeze could easily extend further than I expect. โœ… ๐—ง๐—ผ๐—ฝ ๐—ฐ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜€ $BLDP +39% $EOSE +22% (and a second tranche +15%) $PLUG +10% $VSXY (Victoria's Secret & Co.) +10% $IOVA (Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc.) +10% โš ๏ธ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ป'๐˜ ๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ธ $VIR (Vir Biotechnology Inc) โˆ’13% $FLNC โˆ’11% (reentered) $ARQT (Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc) โˆ’8% $FTRE โˆ’7% ๐—ฉ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ผ ๐—๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฒ (๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป) I'll keep the cash buffer high, deploy slowly into names with cleaner fundamentals, and let the squeeze trade burn itself out at its own pace. See this post ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐˜† ๐—ก๐—ผ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐˜† ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ค๐˜‚๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—˜๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป for details about what's worrying me etoro.tw/4v7Sq8x Ideal scenario would be an unwinding of the current squeeze via fireworks like a deep temporary correction similar with what we saw in $SILVER a few months ago. That may not materialise though, I'm prepared either way. ๐ˆ๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐›๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐ค ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ซ๐ญ I'm co-running @AlphaFlow account (open to copy) that has a stellar run in the past two months (be sure to read the pinned risk details there). I'm running a live test a new system here @algoxl (test account, not open to copy). That had a (idk how to call it - galactic?) +31% run in May albeit with dizzying volatility. Let's see how it would fare a market downturn. Currently I'm waiting patiently for the current rally to conclude to deploy the cool stuff learned while designing @AlphaFlow and @algoxl ๐—ฌ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ฟ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ | ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐˜† ๐—ง๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ป๐˜ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ | ๐—ฃ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ด๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐˜‚๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—น๐˜๐˜€ | ๐—ฌ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ฟ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐˜€' ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜† ๐—ด๐—ผ ๐˜‚๐—ฝ ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ป
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.