Stewart Fitzell
Edited
๐—ฃ๐˜‚๐—น๐—น๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐˜€ & ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜€: ๐™ƒ๐™ค๐™ฌ ๐™„'๐™ข ๐™ฃ๐™–๐™ซ๐™ž๐™œ๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™Ž๐™š๐™ฅ๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ข๐™—๐™š๐™ง Thereโ€™s plenty going on in the markets right now. I'll take a look at what's going on and how the portfolio has been performing. ๐Ÿ‘‡ โ–ช๏ธ๐™๐™Ž ๐™…๐™ค๐™—๐™จ ๐™‰๐™ช๐™ข๐™—๐™š๐™ง๐™จ ๐™ฌ๐™š๐™–๐™ ๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ The latest U.S. jobs report was weakโ€”just 22,000 jobs added and unemployment climbing to 4.3%, the highest since 2021. This is putting real pressure on the US Federal Reserve, with markets now expecting a rate cut in September, possibly as much as 50bp. (0.5%). US companies remain cautious on hiring and expansion, weighed down by tariffs and higher financing costs. Meanwhile, safe returns are drawing capital away from equities: the 30-year bond yield hit 5% this week, offering investors a compelling alternative. Inflation is still sticky, with CPI at 2.7%, keeping the Fed in a tough position. All eyes are on next weekโ€™s CPI report to set the tone for the September Fed meeting. โ–ช๏ธ๐™Ž๐™ค๐™ข๐™š ๐™ก๐™ž๐™œ๐™๐™ฉ ๐™–๐™ฉ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™š๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™ค๐™› ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™ฉ๐™ช๐™ฃ๐™ฃ๐™š๐™ก? Not everything is negative. The Institute for Supply Management services index rose to 52.0 in August, showing expansion in a sector that represents more than two-thirds of the U.S. economy. This resilience is an encouraging sign that the underlying economy is still holding up. Even so, with stocks near all-time highs and September historically a challenging month for equities, volatility is likely to stay elevated. Tech has remained relatively strong, supported by earnings momentum and the prospect of lower rates. While Iโ€™m cautious about stretched valuations in some cases, I'm also conscious that there's more room to grow - it's a fine balance. โ–ช๏ธ๐™‹๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™ค ๐˜ผ๐™™๐™Ÿ๐™ช๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™จ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™‹๐™š๐™ง๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š Earlier in the week I took some profits and made adjustments to the portfolioโ€”reducing gold and trimming stocks I felt were due for a pullback, including $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) , $GOOG (Alphabet) , $MSFT (Microsoft) , and $AVAV (AeroVironment Inc.) . I added $LLY (Eli Lilly & Co) recently and may grow this position. Despite a difficult year, this pharma company looks to be at a turnabout point with strong demand for its weight-loss and diabetes treatments, a promising pipeline, and signs that weakness may already be priced in. ๐Ÿ’ธ Weโ€™re also heavier than usual on cash, which will be redeployed as opportunities develop. The cash is held within the portfolio / copy and copiers do not need to do anything. ๐™’๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ ๐™™๐™ž๐™จ๐™˜๐™ž๐™ฅ๐™ก๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™š๐™™ ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™จ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™–๐™™๐™Ÿ๐™ช๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ, ๐™ฉ๐™๐™ž๐™จ ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™ค ๐™ž๐™จ ๐™ช๐™ฅ +๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฑ.๐Ÿฒ% ๐™”๐™๐˜ฟ ๐™ซ๐™š๐™ง๐™จ๐™ช๐™จ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™Ž&๐™‹ ๐Ÿฑ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌโ€™๐™จ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฌ.๐Ÿฎ% - ๐™– ๐™ซ๐™š๐™ง๐™ฎ ๐™˜๐™ก๐™š๐™–๐™ง ๐™ค๐™ช๐™ฉ๐™ฅ๐™š๐™ง๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š ๐™ž๐™ฃ ๐™– ๐™˜๐™๐™–๐™ก๐™ก๐™š๐™ฃ๐™œ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™ข๐™–๐™ง๐™ ๐™š๐™ฉ. Stay patient, stay informedโ€”& let the strategy work. ๐Ÿ‘ Please like, comment & share - this really helps. Regards, Stewart ๐Ÿ”น๏ธ๐™‹๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™ค ๐™„๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™ค๐™™๐™ช๐™˜๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ & ๐™๐˜ผ๐™Œ etoro.tw/3BqjOb2 ๐Ÿ”น๏ธ๐˜พ๐™ค๐™ฅ๐™ฎ ๐™๐™ง๐™–๐™™๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ: ๐™†๐™š๐™ฎ ๐™„๐™ฃ๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ etoro.tw/45vTQj5 โš ๏ธ Risk Warnings: Copy Trading does not amount to investment advice | Your capital is at risk | The value if your investments may go up or down. | Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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