Andrea Marcon
Andrea Marcon
Switzerland
๐—” ๐—ฌ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ ๐—œ๐—ป ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜„, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ ๐Ÿ” Dear Copiers & Followers, As we head into 2025, I thought I would write a longer post looking-back at the last year. ๐—•๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐˜, ๐—ฎ ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ต ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ... Despite having a solid track-record as a generally positive month, ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜, with the $SPX500 recording a -2.50% performance on an otherwise positive year. The portfolio also experienced this downturn, recording a -2.34% performance, bringing our ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ป ๐˜๐—ผ +๐Ÿฌ.๐Ÿฒ๐Ÿต%. This unfortunate decline at the very end of the year likely related to ๐—บ๐˜‚๐—น๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜€, such as the collapse of France's government, affecting $TTE (TotalEnergies SE), the termination of $CPRI's merger with $TPR (Tapestry, Inc) following the FTC's lawsuit, and most recently, Brazil's stock market sell-off. ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ท๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ for us this month included: โ—พ $ASO (Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc.) with a +17.06% ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป โ—พ $SBSW (Sibanye Stillwater Ltd-ADR) with a -19.32% ๐—ฑ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฝ As regards specific ๐™˜๐™๐™–๐™ฃ๐™œ๐™š๐™จ ๐™ž๐™ฃ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™ค, we: โ—พ Took ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜ on ๐Ÿญ/๐Ÿฎ of our investment in $TPR (+๐Ÿด๐Ÿฎ.๐Ÿด๐Ÿฎ% ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜) โ—พ Took ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜ on ๐Ÿญ/๐Ÿฐ of our investment in $GGB (Gerdau SA-ADR) (+๐Ÿณ.๐Ÿณ๐Ÿฒ% ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜) โ—พ Took ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜ on ๐Ÿญ/๐Ÿณ of our investment in $NOMD (Nomad Foods Ltd) (+๐Ÿฏ.๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ% ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜) โ—พ Took ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜ on ๐Ÿญ/๐Ÿฒ of our investment in $TROX (Tronox Holdings PLC) (+๐Ÿฎ.๐Ÿณ๐Ÿฌ% ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜) โ—พ ๐—ข๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ a ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป in $CTRA (currently +8.29%) โ—พ ๐—ข๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ a ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ปs in $EQNR (Equinor ASA-ADR) (currently +7.56%) โ—พ ๐—ข๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ a ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป in $UBS (UBS Group AG) (currently +0.83%) โ—พ ๐—ข๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ a ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป in $ESNT (Essent Group) (currently -0.57%) โ—พ ๐—ข๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ a ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป in $COP (ConocoPhillips Co) (currently -1.08%) โ—พ ๐—ข๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ a ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป in $INSW (International Seaways Inc) (currently -3.42%) โ—พ ๐—ข๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ a ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป in $SU (Suncor Energy Inc.) (currently -3.43%) โ—พ ๐—ข๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ a ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป in $BWA (BorgWarner Inc) (currently -4.11%) โ—พ ๐—ข๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ a ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป in $NUE (Nucor Corp) (currently -21.09%) ๐Ÿ“Š ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ as a whole, we ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜†๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ณ ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฎ +๐Ÿฌ.๐Ÿฒ๐Ÿต% overall performance, despite a rough December, bringing our ๐Ÿฐ-๐˜†๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ผ +๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฎ.๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿณ%. In a year driven by chip & AI growth-stocks, the ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—น๐˜, given how few of these growing tech companies can match the criteria set out in a "value" investment portfolio such as this one. Nonetheless, it is important to remember that ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฒ-๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐˜† ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜‚๐—บ-๐—น๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—บ, with investments centered towards companies that have shown, and continue to show profitability. With this in mind, while 2024 may seem as an "off" year for the portfolio, given the small gains, I remain ๐—ณ๐˜‚๐—น๐—น๐˜† ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ in the strategy, which has so-far produced impressive gains over the last 4 years, performing at its best even as market conditions appeared bleak in 2021. ๐—”๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ฒ ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฌ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ, our ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐˜† will remain largely unchanged, with an ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜‚๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป & ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ-๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜, as well as a ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ป ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฒ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด, ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ณ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ณ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜€ (as outlined in the profile bio). While the goal for 2025 is obviously that of ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—บ๐˜† ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€, ๐˜€๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜€, ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฑ๐—ฒ: โ—พ Continuing to ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€e ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ฟ market ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ. In fact, exposure in terms of % of currently allocated funds has already increased from roughly 20% to 32% over the last few months. โ—พ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฒ the ongoing process of ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ & ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป โ—พ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ-๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—น๐˜† ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜†๐˜‡๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐˜€ with newer, updated analyses. This is all for now, I wish you all a ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐˜† ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฌ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ, and happy trading everyone, Andrea
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.