Macroanalyst
Markets go through regime shifts all the time. Unfortunately, it is often in hindsight before it becomes apparent that a shift has occurred. Whether the latest swoon in markets marks an oncoming new regime remains to be seen. Meanwhile, there is a respite in the form of a bounce in $USDJPY as shown in the chart below. Risky assets are also rebounding in concert although not enough to make up for yesterday's losses. Given my current portfolio positioning, I expect to be giving up some of the 6.3% gained so far this month. However, this is to be expected since nothing goes up in a straight line. I will continue to wait for fresh signals from my models before making any adjustments to the portfolio. $SPXU $VXX $GLD $DBA
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