passion7272
Bangladesh
From $9 to $58 in 3 years. Can $1810.HK (Xiaomi Corp) hit $500? Xiaomi has been on a phenomenal growth trajectory, rising from $9 to $58 in just three years, marking an impressive 650% gain. To reach $500, it would need another 800% surge. Given the current market conditions and Xiaomi’s strong financial performance, I believe it can achieve this milestone even faster. Market Conditions Favor Xiaomi: Xiaomi’s rise took place during a period when the broader Chinese market was facing significant downturns. Some of the biggest Chinese companies, including $BABA (Alibaba-ADR), $0700.HK (Tencent) and $BIDU (Baidu, Inc.-ADR) struggled during this time. However, the last six months have been favorable for the Chinese stock market, with Alibaba surging 60%, Tencent up 39%, and $9618.HK (JD.com Inc) climbing 58%. Amidst this market recovery, Xiaomi has outperformed, skyrocketing 190%. With a potential full-fledged bull market on the horizon, Xiaomi could experience exponential growth, making the case for a $500 price target even stronger. Strong Financial Performance Fuels Growth Xiaomi’s Q4 2024 earnings report showcased outstanding financial health. The company reported a revenue of 109 billion yuan, a 48.8% increase year-over-year, surpassing the 100 billion yuan mark in a single quarter for the first time. Key Revenue Contributors: Smartphones: 51.3 billion yuan IoT Products: 30.9 billion yuan Smart Electric Vehicles: 16.7 billion yuan Xiaomi’s adjusted annual net profit for 2024 reached a record 27.2 billion yuan, highlighting the company’s ability to maintain strong margins while scaling operations. Expansion Into Smart Electric Vehicles (EVs): One of Xiaomi’s biggest breakthroughs has been its entry into the EV market. By the end of 2024, the company had successfully delivered 136,854 units of its SU7 series electric vehicles, with an average selling price of 234,479 yuan. This move into smart EVs has positioned Xiaomi as a major player in a sector that is expected to grow exponentially over the next decade. As Xiaomi continues to refine its technology and expand production capacity, its EV division could become a major revenue driver, further solidifying its position in the high-growth tech and automotive sectors. AI and IoT Integration: A Game Changer: Xiaomi has always been at the forefront of innovation, leveraging AI and IoT to enhance its ecosystem. The company’s strategy of integrating AI into its product lineup, from smartphones to smart home devices, gives it a competitive edge. With increasing demand for smart devices, Xiaomi is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing global adoption of AI-powered technology. Valuation and Future Outlook: Given Xiaomi’s current momentum, strong financials, and expansion into high-growth sectors, the case for a $500 price target is compelling. The company is executing its strategy efficiently, scaling its revenue, and expanding into new markets. If the broader China market enters a sustained bull phase, Xiaomi could see accelerated gains, making a 800% surge within reach.. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For more content like this, please consider following me :)
passion7272
Why $1810.HK (Xiaomi Corp) is a HODL? 1. Market Position and Growth - Global Smartphone Market Share: As of Q4 2024, Xiaomi maintained approximately 13% of the global smartphone market, remaining one of the top three manufacturers alongside $AAPL (Apple) and $SMSN.L (Samsung Electronics Co Ltd - GDR) - Sales Growth: In 2024, Xiaomi reported a 29.4% year-over-year increase in smartphone shipments, indicating robust demand in both domestic and international markets. 2. Diverse Product Portfolio - Revenue Breakdown: For the fiscal year 2024, Xiaomi's revenue from smart devices (including smartphones) reached around $45 billion, while revenue from IoT and lifestyle products was approximately $14 billion. - Product Categories: The company boasts over 400 products across various categories, including wearables, home appliances, smart TVs, and electric scooters. 3. Expanding Ecosystem - Connected Devices: By early 2025, Xiaomi's ecosystem includes over 450 million connected devices, excluding smartphones. This extensive network enhances customer engagement and loyalty. - Mi Home App: The Mi Home app now has over 130 million downloads, allowing users to manage their smart home devices seamlessly. 4. Electric Vehicle Initiative Xiaomi’s SU7 electric sedan (launched March 2024) targets $TSLA (Tesla Motors, Inc.) 's Model 3 and Porsche’s Taycan at half the price. - Investment Plans: Xiaomi is making significant investments in the electric vehicle sector, planning to allocate around $10 billion over the next decade. This investment aims to develop innovative electric vehicles and enhance their technology. - SU7 Ultra Launch: The highly anticipated SU7 Ultra electric vehicle is set to launch in China on February 27, 2025. Xiaomi's CEO has expressed confidence in achieving sales of 10,000 units in its first year. - Future Models: In addition to the SU7 Ultra, Xiaomi has plans for more electric vehicle models, demonstrating its commitment to becoming a key player in the EV market. 5. Financial Performance - Revenue Growth: In 2024, Xiaomi reported total revenue of approximately $45 billion, showcasing continued growth compared to previous years. - Net Income: The company achieved a net income of around $3.5 billion in 2024, reflecting ongoing profitability. 6. R&D Investment - R&D Spending: Xiaomi allocates about 5% of its annual revenue to research and development. In 2024, this amounted to approximately $2.25 billion, focusing on advancements in AI, IoT, mobile technology, and electric vehicles. 7. Brand Loyalty and Recognition - Customer Satisfaction: Surveys from early 2025 indicate that Xiaomi continues to rank highly in customer satisfaction and loyalty among smartphone brands. - Social Media Presence: The brand enjoys a strong social media following, with over 25 million followers on Weibo, reflecting solid engagement with its customer base. 8. Margin of Safety Xiaomi’s cash ($15B) covers its EV investments, limiting downside. At 1x P/S, bad news is priced in. Catalysts Ahead: EV deliveries beating estimates (SU7 production ramping). Services margin expansion (HyperOS integrates AI, cars, phones). Global smartphone share gains as Huawei struggles with U.S. sanctions. Long-Term Vision: CEO Lei Jun (China’s Steve Jobs) is replicating his smartphone playbook in EVs: disrupt incumbents with affordability + tech. $1810.HK (Xiaomi Corp) is the second largest holding in my portfolio. Although I allocated a very small portion of my portfolio to it some years ago, it has grown over 14.5% at the time of writing this article. If you enjoy this type of content, please press like and share it with others. Also, follow me for more content like this. $0992.HK (Lenovo Group) $NIO (Nio Inc.-ADR) $SKWD (Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc) $BABA (Alibaba-ADR) $03690.HK (Meituan Class B)
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