Giorgio Reveco Barraza @girebz: "January 2026: Maduro’s capture +..."

Chile

January 2026: Maduro’s capture + the signal that the U.S. will “take control” during the transition doesn’t hit me through direct exposure, but through global transmission: volatility 🌪️, oil 🛢️, gold 🪙, and flows into/out of emerging markets 🌍. Two scenarios: 1) Orderly transition ✅: the initial shock fades and risk appetite returns 📈. Here I expect a better tone for $SCHG (Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF ) $SCHF (Schwab International Equity ETF) and mega tech $GOOG (Alphabet) $AAPL (Apple) $MSFT (Microsoft) $AMZN (Amazon.com Inc) $META. 2) Contested control / prolonged pressure ⚠️: higher volatility 😵‍💫, a hit to high beta (semis $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) $AMD (Advanced Micro Devices Inc) $ASML (ASML Holding NV) $TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd - ADR)), and pressure on EM 🌪️ ($SCHE (Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF)). In that case I prefer shock absorbers 🧱: gold ($IAU and $AU (AngloGold Ashanti Ltd-ADR)) 🪙, healthcare ($UNH $NVO (Novo-Nordisk A/S SPONS ADR)) 🩺, and income/REITs ($O) 🏠. Energy ($SHELL.L) could benefit if crude keeps a risk premium 🛢️. What I’m watching 👀: oil 🛢️, gold 🪙, long rates 📉/📈, USD 💵, and whether $SCHE sees outflows or stabilizes. Not financial advice. Your capital is at risk ⚠️ toposuranos.com/InvestorInsight/en/2026/01/05/possible-impact-of-maduros-capture-on-my-global-portfolio-scenarios-for-january-and-the-first-quarter/