Mekel Haunsby @Luma_25000: "SMCI ignored news could matter..."

Denmark

SMCI ignored news could matter into earnings call for $SMCI (Super Micro Computer, Inc) Earnings call date Feb 3 2026 I researched deeper on $SMCI and acted on two developments I think the market has not fully priced in (more like ignored). My view is that if these are restated on the call with clearer data the stock could re-rate meaningfully. Because of this thesis I sold additional exposure in $AMD (Advanced Micro Devices Inc) $GOOGL (Alphabet Inc Class A) $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) and rotated further into $SMCI. It is now just above 25% of my equity so this is a high-conviction call now on my part. ➡️ Jan 5 2026 capacity signal Fact $SMCI announced expanded rack-scale manufacturing capacity for liquid-cooled AI solutions and framed it around next-gen NVIDIA platform readiness. My take I found it notable that the stock did not re-rate on the headline. In my opinion that is either skepticism or bad timing. If management can quantify capacity shipment cadence and lead times on the call this becomes a much bigger datapoint than a simple press release. ➡️ Nov 2025 delivery shift and big next quarter guide Fact In Nov 2025 management said delivery timing slipped due to last-minute configuration upgrades and integration complexity and that roughly $1.5B of revenue shifted into the following quarter. At the same time they guided the next quarter at $10B to $11B and raised the full-year outlook My take This matters because the bull case is not demand. The bull case is conversion of demand into shipped systems. If the call confirms that deferred revenue actually landed and that shipment velocity is improving then the narrative can flip fast. What I want to hear on the Feb 3 call 📈 Evidence of shipment velocity for rack-scale liquid cooled builds 📈 Gross margin direction during the ramp 📈 Any clarity on backlog quality and delivery cadence 📈 Concrete capacity proof points tied to the Jan 5 expansion headline Bottom line In my estimate $SMCI is still carrying a big trust discount while AI infrastructure demand is not going away. If execution improves even modestly valuation can do a lot of the work. If not I accept the risk because I sized it knowingly. ✅ This is not financial advice, but written purely for educational purposes to explain how this setup was analysed. Always do your own research.