Misaki Pulleiro
United Arab Emirates
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ: ๐—ž๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜„๐˜€ ๐—ข๐—ณ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฃ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ (๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿณ) ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐˜ฟ๐™š๐™–๐™ง ๐˜พ๐™ค๐™ฅ๐™ž๐™š๐™ง๐™จ ๐™ค๐™› ๐™‚๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ค๐˜ผ๐™˜๐™ช๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™˜๐™ค'๐™จ ๐Ÿช™๐Ÿ’Ž ๐™๐™‡๐™๐™๐˜ผ ๐™ƒ๐™„๐™‚๐™ƒ ๐˜ฟ๐™„๐™‘๐™„๐˜ฟ๐™€๐™‰๐˜ฟ ๐™‹๐™Š๐™๐™๐™๐™Š๐™‡๐™„๐™Š ๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿช™ Below are five holdings and/or thematic exposures that saw meaningful activity this past week, relevant to our ongoing portfolio strategy: ๐Ÿญ. ๐—•๐—•๐—ฉ๐—” ($BBVA.MC (BBVA) (BBVA)) ๐˜“๐˜ข๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด โ‚ฌ๐Ÿฃ๐Ÿฆ.๐Ÿช ๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜‰๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ ๐˜š๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ญ - BBVA formally announced a โ‚ฌ14.8 billion offer for Sabadell, offering one new BBVA share plus โ‚ฌ0.70 cash for every 5.5483 Sabadell shares. - The deal would create Spainโ€™s second-largest domestic bank, though analysts suggest BBVA may need to sweeten terms to secure approval. ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—œ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป: Potential for scale and revenue upside, but elevated execution and regulatory risk. Monitor the approval process and integration outlook. ๐Ÿญ. ๐—ฉ๐—œ๐—–๐—œ ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ($VICI (VICI Properties Inc)) ๐˜™๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ฒ๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ; ๐˜ฆ๐˜น-๐˜ฅ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ-๐˜š๐˜ฆ๐˜ฑ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ - VICI declared a $0.45 quarterly dividend (up from prior), with an ex-dividend date of Sep 18, 2025 and payable Oct 9, 2025 โ€” a 3.6% increase that reflects stable cash flow from gaming and experiential tenants. - The payout increase comes amid continued investor interest in experiential-REITs, and management reiterated capital allocation discipline while pursuing selective asset rotation. ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—œ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป: Yield support and recurring income make VICI attractive for income allocations; monitor ex-dividend volatility and retail/gaming demand trends. ๐Ÿฎ. ๐—›๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ($HTGC (Hercules Capital Inc)) ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜บ๐˜ด๐˜ต/๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜บ๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ-๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฃ๐˜ต ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜จ๐˜ฆ - Recent investor write-ups emphasise Herculesโ€™ high dividend yield and a coverage ratio that shows interest income broadly covering the payout โ€” boosting attention from yield-seeking investors. - Analysts continue to watch credit performance across venture-debt portfolios, noting stability but flagging sensitivity to late-stage tech valuations. ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—œ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป: Attractive yield opportunity for income mandates, but requires monitoring of portfolio credit risk and mark-to-market pressure. ๐Ÿฏ. ๐—”๐—ฟ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜๐˜† ๐—ง๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜ ($ABR (Arbor Realty Trust Inc)) ๐˜Š๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ $๐Ÿช๐Ÿข๐Ÿค๐˜” ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ป๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ป๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ (๐˜Š๐˜“๐˜–) โ€” ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ด ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฑ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ - The company announced the closing of a $802 million BTR-focused CLO, strengthening its ability to finance build-to-rent and multifamily originations and demonstrating investor appetite for speciality CRE financing. - The move underscores Arborโ€™s role in niche CRE credit markets and provides incremental liquidity to support originations. ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—œ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป: Supports growth in earnings/cash flow potential via expanded lending capacity โ€” positive for credit-oriented REIT returns; watch credit spreads and CLO pricing. ๐Ÿฐ. ๐—Ÿ๐˜†๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น๐—•๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ($LYB (LyondellBasell Industries NV)) ๐˜˜๐Ÿค ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ด ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ๐˜ต๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜บ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ถ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜จ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ - The company reported weaker-than-expected Q2 results with margins hit by maintenance downtime and softer downstream demand; management reiterated focus on asset optimisation and cost control. - Some brokers trimmed forecasts and price targets reflecting near-term cyclical headwinds in chemicals and plastics demand. ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—œ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป: Cyclical exposure suggests patience for recovery; consider trimming if recovery signals lag or adding on a confirmed margin rebound. ๐Ÿฑ. ๐—•๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ($BXP (Boston Properties Inc)) ๐˜—๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฑ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ข๐˜บ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต๐˜ด ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฐ ๐˜ท๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ธ - The company announced its 2025 Investor Day and published commentary suggesting management will revisit growth targets and valuation drivers โ€” a signal that leadership wants to re-engage investors on long-term leasing and development pipeline. - Market commentary suggests the investor day could be used to re-set expectations around urban office reopening and capex plans. ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—œ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป: Investor day could prompt re-rating if guidance/targets are constructive; near-term volatility possible as attendees digest strategy updates. ๐™ƒ๐™–๐™ฅ๐™ฅ๐™ฎ ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™–๐™™๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ! ๐™ˆ๐™ž๐™จ๐™–๐™ ๐™ž
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