Pierre Neuman
πŸ‘Ύ MACHINE LEARNING–POWERED REBALANCING COMPLETED πŸ‘Ύ The last few days have been challenging for many assets β€” especially commodities and tech stocks, which corrected sharply. We rebalanced the portfolio according to our machine learning, regime-aware framework, staying aligned with its signals rather than emotions. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ πŸ“Š PERFORMANCE SNAPSHOT (YTD) Despite recent volatility: β€’ Our portfolio: +4.1% YTD, +33,76% Annualized β€’ $NSDQ100: -1.25% YTD β€’ $SP500: -0.51% YTD β€’ $BTC: -16.33% YTD πŸ“ˆ Outperformance remains significant β€” even after a tough week for several positions. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ πŸ”„ WHAT WE DID (REBALANCING) We maintained a reduced overall exposure to the Nasdaq100 while rotating into new opportunities highlighted by our model: Sold: $GOOGL (Alphabet Inc Class A), $AMZN (Amazon.com Inc), $FER, $DXCM (DexCom Inc) Initiated: $AMAT (Applied Materials Inc), $ADSK (Autodesk, Inc.), $MRVL (Marvell Technology Group Ltd), $INTC (Intel), $PDD (PDD Holdings Inc - ADR), $ROP (Roper Technologies Inc) We also maintain convexity through: β€’ ~30% hedge spread across $GOLD , energy and defense And increased optionality with: β€’ ~12% in cash ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🧠 WHY THIS POSITIONING Our tactical regime model remains in the Neutral zone (50/100) β€” its lowest reading so far. At the same time, our long-term macro model still signals ~65% probability of systemic stress. This combination implies: β€’ Stay invested β€’ Preserve flexibility β€’ Keep convexity through hedges Neutral does not mean bearish. It means selective, diversified, and risk-aware. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ πŸ›‘οΈ THE PHILOSOPHY This strategy is not about predicting tops or bottoms. It’s about adapting continuously to regime quality to outperform benchmarks over full cycles β€” for my two little shareholders at home πŸ‘ΆπŸ»πŸ‘ΆπŸ» and for everyone copying along the way: β€’ De-risk when signals deteriorate β€’ Re-accelerate when conditions improve β€’ Accept short-term noise to protect long-term compounding Drawdowns may feel uncomfortable for new copiers, but they are inevitable β€” not the first and not the last. Discipline is the edge. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ πŸ’¬ QUESTION FOR YOU Do you agree with our model’s current assessment β€” neutral regime, elevated macro stress β€” and how are you positioning? Curious to hear your views πŸ‘‡ ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ πŸ”— DIVE DEEPER β€’ Strategy + how to copy optimally: etoro.tw/4hPrBiO β€’ Last model upgrade: etoro.tw/4rBGpqW β€’ Detailed performance: bullaware.com/etoro/PierreN2023 β€’ Shark Tank story: etoro.tw/492fU5o β€’ eToro Quantitative Investment Program: etoro.tw/4shY3QQ ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Markets fluctuate. Our machine learning models adapt. We compound over time with discipline πŸ’š β€” PierreN2023 Member of the eToro Quantitative Investment Program
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