Joao Miguel Silva Ferreira @ghostyver: "TWO SHOCKS, ONE MARKET Markets are..."

Switzerland

TWO SHOCKS, ONE MARKET Markets are dancing on two moons: a US-Iran peace deal and the largest IPO in history. Leaders are expected to sign a ceasefire Friday, reopening the Strait of Hormuz — the world's most critical oil chokepoint. Crude initially fell. But analysts warn the Hormuz logjam won't clear for weeks. Energy markets aren't out of the woods yet. Meanwhile, SpaceX just listed at $75B. The biggest IPO ever. Retail investors got scraps — institutional allocation was king. Now traders on Polymarket are betting SpaceX blows past $1 trillion. Asia led: Nikkei +4.8%, Kospi +5.3%. US futures jumped. The 10-year Treasury yield ticked up to 4.49% — bond traders are pricing in a less-dovish Fed. JPMorgan is watching Chinese consumer stocks. Citigroup shares outperformed after a Trump endorsement. KKR says AI productivity gains are real — but warns the trend is becoming extreme. Anthropic's top AI models (Fable and Mythos) frozen by the Trump administration. A wild card for semiconductor demand. TOP CATALYST US-Iran peace deal signed Friday — Strait of Hormuz reopening. Oil backlog clears over 2-4 weeks. Aviation, shipping, defence contractors immediate beneficiaries. SpaceX $75B IPO driving risk-on sentiment. $SPX500 $SPCX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp) $OIL $JPN225 $NSDQ100

Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.