Tobias Reily @orbitalnewt: "𝗗𝗲𝗮𝗿 𝗖𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗙𝗼𝗹𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿𝘀: 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴..."

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𝗗𝗲𝗮𝗿 𝗖𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗙𝗼𝗹𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿𝘀: 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: 💵📄𝗧-𝗕𝗜𝗟𝗟𝗦 ✋📉𝗟𝗘𝗦𝗦 𝗦𝗘𝗟𝗟𝗜𝗡𝗚 🥤💙𝗣𝗘𝗣𝗦𝗜 𝑭𝒖𝒓𝒕𝒉𝒆𝒓 𝑨𝒏𝒂𝒍𝒚𝒔𝒊𝒔 𝒐𝒇 𝑭𝒆𝒅𝒆𝒓𝒂𝒍 𝑹𝒆𝒔𝒆𝒓𝒗𝒆 𝑷𝒐𝒍𝒊𝒄𝒚 𝒂𝒏𝒅 𝑴𝒂𝒓𝒌𝒆𝒕 𝑹𝒆𝒂𝒄𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 👇👇👇 🔸 Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell struck a tone that was far less hawkish than many investors had anticipated, as the central bank delivered a widely expected 25bps cut. While Powell reiterated the Fed's data dependent approach, policymakers offered a restrained outlook for 2025, projecting only one rate cut next year. I believe it's that more cautious forecast that has prompted a modest pullback across parts of the market, as traders had been positioning for a more decisive easing cycle. 🔸 Despite the tempered reaction, the broader risk environment has not deteriorated. The Russell 2000 (RTY) has continued to hold near all time highs, showing notable strength relative to the S&P 500. I often look to the RTY as a barometer of risk appetite, and its resilience today suggests that underlying sentiment remains bullish. In contrast, cryptocurrency markets have been more muted, with Bitcoin slipping slightly this morning. Still, if risk appetite stays elevated (signalled by the RTY maintaining its leadership) I expect Bitcoin and altcoins to eventually follow suit. 🔸 Powell noted that several key data series were unavailable due to delays, reinforcing the Fed's insistence that incoming indicators will guide policy from here. The upcoming economic releases on the 16th and 18th now carry even greater importance, as they will help determine the tone of the January meeting and could be a major catalyst for both equities and digital assets. Should those reports come in strong, the combination of firm risk appetite and clearer policy direction may set the stage for renewed momentum in higher beta sectors, including crypto. 🔸 The Fed plan to buy about 40 billion dollars in T-bills which will inject fresh liquidity into the system, which typically supports risk assets by making financial conditions easier. This extra liquidity tends to encourage investor risk taking, and it is likely one of the main reasons the Russell 2000 has remained strong, as smaller and more cyclical stocks benefit the most when liquidity improves. 𝑳𝒆𝒔𝒔 𝑩𝒊𝒕𝒄𝒐𝒊𝒏 𝒎𝒐𝒗𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒕𝒐 𝒆𝒙𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒈𝒆𝒔 𝒉𝒊𝒏𝒕𝒔 𝒂𝒕 𝒓𝒆𝒅𝒖𝒄𝒆𝒅 𝒔𝒆𝒍𝒍𝒊𝒏𝒈 👇👇👇 🔸 Bitcoin's recent market activity shows signs of easing after weeks of intense downward pressure, driven largely by a sharp drop in the amount of Bitcoin being sent to exchanges. According to on-chain data highlighted by market analysts, the volume of Bitcoin deposited onto trading platforms has fallen dramatically from its late November peak. This reduction in inflows suggests that traders and large holders are less inclined to sell right now, alleviating some of the immediate downward pressure on Bitcoin's price. 🔸Large holders, often referred to as "whales," have also scaled back their selling activity, with fewer high volume transfers taking place in recent days. The decrease in transfers from significant holders, combined with shrinking deposit sizes, indicates a shift in trading behaviour that has coincided with Bitcoin rebounding from lows seen earlier in the month. Some analysts interpret this trend as a cooling of active selling that had weighed heavily on the market in late autumn. 🔸 Despite these signs of relief, broader market uncertainty remains, particularly as investors digest yesterday's Federal Reserve decisions and remarks. While reduced selling pressure can create opportunities for price stability or even a rally, I must stress that fresh demand will be needed to sustain upward momentum. Closest resistance is between $94k and $95k. We then have the psychlogical resistance of 100k, and the 0.5 fib level of $103500 will likely be strong resistance. 𝑭𝒖𝒓𝒕𝒉𝒆𝒓 𝑷𝒐𝒔𝒊𝒕𝒊𝒗𝒆 𝑷𝒆𝒑𝒔𝒊𝒄𝒐 𝑵𝒆𝒘𝒔: 👇👇👇 🔸 Pepsico is up over 4% since yesterday's lows. The company is cutting prices and trimming about 20% of its U.S. snacks and beverage products as part of a broad restructuring push. The move follows pressure from activist investor Elliott Management and aims to streamline the company's portfolio while boosting value for cost conscious consumers. 🔸 The company plans to redirect savings from product cuts and efficiency improvements into marketing, core brands, and new value focused offerings. PepsiCo expects these changes to strengthen competitiveness and support modest organic revenue growth over the next few years. 🔸 In response to the strategy shift, JPMorgan upgraded PepsiCo to a Buy rating and raised its price target to $164, citing stronger long-term growth prospects and improved operational focus. Analysts say the new pricing and productivity measures put PepsiCo in a better position for a 2026 performance rebound. Thanks for reading! $PEP (PepsiCo) $BTC $ETH $NSDQ100 $RTY

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