Ombretta De Marco
📉 HYSTERICAL MARKETS What we saw today was not a normal market move. It was a phase of extreme hypersensitivity, where every flow triggered disproportionate reactions. In just a few hours: • $GOLD dropped ~7% in about one hour (roughly $5 trillion in market cap, more than twice the entire crypto market) • $SILVER followed • $MSFT (Microsoft) fell ~12% after earnings missed expectations, dragging the Nasdaq lower • $SPX500 saw a sharp sell-off • $BTC moved lower • The dollar hit its weakest levels since 2022. $USDOLLAR This is not a market that is “thinking.” It’s a market reacting in a nervous and disorderly way. 🧠 What’s happening Right now, capital is not focused on Bitcoin. It’s flowing into commodities, especially gold and silver, in an almost spasmodic accumulation phase. But caution is needed: • moving assets of this size so violently affects the entire system • it creates chain reactions across equities, crypto, and liquidity • it increases the likelihood of forced and non-rational moves The fact that gold, silver, BTC, and the S&P 500 all “stumbled” at the same time is a clear signal: 👉 this is not an orderly rotation, it’s systemic stress. Gold is currently absorbing shocks better and has recovered part of the drop. But the FOMO in gold and silver is dangerous, many are entering late, without a margin of safety. And Bitcoin? In the short term, Bitcoin is strongly pricing in tension: • reduced liquidity • flows concentrated elsewhere • higher sensitivity to marginal moves The narrative that “Bitcoin is failing versus gold” is not structural. It’s a phase of relative weakness, amplified by the broader context. 📌 The most useful reading When everything moves violently: • the issue is not the asset • it’s the market regime In these phases: • prices don’t reflect value • they reflect positioning, liquidity, and fear • risk doesn’t disappear, it shifts This is where the difference becomes clear between: • chasing the move • managing exposure Volatility is not something to “predict.” It’s a context to move through with method. 👉 Within this framework, I took advantage of the weakness to gradually increase $SOL and Microsoft, with coherent sizing and no urgency. If we were even at the beginning of a weaker phase or a potential bear market, from here onward the environment would progressively become more favorable for gradual accumulation via DCA. If instead the rally continues, the average entry price would still remain competitive, precisely because it’s built without chasing highs or acting under pressure.
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