Victor Pedersen
Hi everyone, The portfolio is slowly ticking forward, and we are in a great, flexible spot. The market has been on a wild run lately, especially in tech and AI, but it still feels like a lot of the rally is being propped up. Valuations are high and some metrics haven't been this stretched since the dot-com era, which makes it hard to ignore the risk that prices aren't fully supported by fundamentals. The Fed's recent rate cuts have added fuel, signaling support for the economy, but they also reflect concerns about slower growth and persistent inflation. The market has responded positively, but there's a cautious undertone as investors watch for any signs of strain. Overall, sentiment is a mix of optimism and caution. My current approach is to be highly selective and focus on areas that still have clear upside, rather than chasing broad momentum in an otherwise elevated market. I’ve reflected my caution with a 53% equity and 47% bond allocation. This could change quickly depending on how the market moves from here. The equity portion still has a strong concentration in growth stocks, so I’m not concerned if the market stays elevated, as this would actually work in our favor. On the downside, the portfolio is structured to be significantly less painful if we see a major correction in the stock market. Speaking of growth stocks, Roku has been making headlines with its recent achievements. Streaming on Roku-powered devices accounted for 21.4% of all U.S. TV viewing time, surpassing broadcast TV's 18.4% share for the third consecutive month. Additionally, Roku has expanded its free ad-supported streaming television lineup by adding 10 new live channels, bringing the total offerings to more than 570 options. This move caters to viewers seeking diverse content without subscriptions, logins, or extra fees. Furthermore, Roku launched a new ad-free streaming service called Howdy, priced at $2.99 per month. This service offers a budget-friendly alternative to traditional streaming platforms, providing access to a wide array of on-demand films and series from major studios like Lionsgate and Warner Bros., alongside Roku Originals. $ROKU (Roku Inc) is still my largest stock position. It hasn’t seen the same bullish momentum as $U (Unity Software Inc.) yet, but that’s likely just a matter of time. And as always, there’s potential for Roku to be acquired as long as it trades below $100. I’ve also been building up a position in $UBI.PA (Ubisoft Entertainment SA) as the stock looks fairly distressed and offers value. This isn’t strictly a long-term position and I’ll trade it as long as it continues to fluctuate around current levels. I will remain selective across the portfolio, focusing on areas with clear upside while keeping risk well-managed in a market that’s elevated overall. As always, thank you for copying!
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