Luca Meier
Switzerland
๐Ÿช™ ๐—š๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฑ ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜€ ๐—ฏ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜๐—น๐˜† โ€“ ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—ฏ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ! โœจ๐Ÿ“‰ Dear Copiers ๐Ÿš€ Itโ€™s that time again โ€” update time! And no, this isnโ€™t another fairy tale about endless uptrends ๐Ÿ˜…๐Ÿ“‰ Since my last post, our portfolio has continued to correct (which, as many of you know, was expected and something Iโ€™ve mentioned several times). The main reason for this weakness is the $GOLD price, which has dropped about -8.6% from its recent high. As usual with gold mining stocks: when gold sneezes, the miners catch a cold ๐Ÿคง๐Ÿ’ฐ โ€” and so $GDX (VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF) and $GDXJ (VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF) have fallen by around -15.3% to -16.4%. Since roughly one-fifth of our portfolio is made up of gold miners, this has, of course, put some pressure on our performance. But donโ€™t panic: those of you who follow my strategy closely know that I warned about this correction two weeks ago. After nine consecutive weeks of gains, it was simply unlikely that gold would make history with a 10th straight week of gains ๐Ÿ“‰โžก๏ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ Thatโ€™s why I decided to hedge about 50% of our gold miner exposure, using short positions in $JNUG (Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares) and $NUGT. These hedges are currently up +136% to +150% ๐Ÿ’ช๐Ÿ”ฅ โ€“ they didnโ€™t completely offset all losses, but without them, October would have been far more painful. That said, October ended at -6.05%, making it our worst month of the year so far. Not ideal, but still perfectly within the range of a healthy correction. In the short term, I expect a counter-move (B-wave) in gold before we potentially see another larger pullback towards the 3,700โ€“3,800 $ zone. Those levels would be interesting re-entry points to close our hedges and add exposure to the miners again ๐Ÿ’Žโ›๏ธ I also had a hedge on the $SPX500 via $SPXL (Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X), which unfortunately got stopped out with a small loss on Tuesday. The U.S. markets still seem to be in party mode ๐Ÿฅณ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ€” so for now, Iโ€™m staying cautious and just observing. After the recent strength, I believe we could still see another move toward 7,500 points before the next major correction (which weโ€™ll definitely hedge when the time comes ๐Ÿ˜‰). Our China stocks (also around 20% of the portfolio) have been under some pressure as well recently, but I remain optimistic. I expect the $HKG50 to continue its upward movement until around the 28,500 region, where Iโ€™ll again look to hedge accordingly ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ“Š And what about crypto? ๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿช™ Well, our cryptocurrencies are currently dancing the โ€œsideways waltzโ€ โ€” a real rollercoaster of emotions, but without much real movement. Still, thatโ€™s just part of the journey. October was our weakest month in 15 months, but such phases are natural and healthy. I encourage all of you: donโ€™t see corrections as setbacks โ€” see them as opportunities. ๐Ÿ’ก Those who think long-term, invest regularly, and stay patient will come out on top. Financial markets arenโ€™t a sprint; theyโ€™re a marathon ๐Ÿƒโ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ’จ โ€” and weโ€™re running it together. If you believe in the strategy, go ahead and like this post ๐Ÿ‘, share it with others ๐Ÿ”„, and comment below on how youโ€™re handling the current volatility ๐Ÿ’ฌ๐Ÿ‘‡ Stay strong โ€” the most exciting phases often begin when others give up. ๐Ÿ˜‰โœจ Best regards Luca
null
.