JOSE ANGEL ZABALEGUI LABARTA @Analisisciclico: "$GOLD: HOW CYCLIC PEAK TRANSLATION..."

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$GOLD: HOW CYCLIC PEAK TRANSLATION REVEALS THE UNDERLYING TREND Gold reached a record high in October 2025 near 4,400, within a clear bullish cyclic pattern where peak translation highlights a powerful underlying uptrend. Let’s examine this for educational purposes. First, a quick summary of the relevant cyclic theory: a strong underlying trend “distorts” the shape of a cycle. A strongly bearish trend produces earlier peaks and later troughs; a strongly bullish trend creates later peaks and earlier troughs; a neutral trend yields a symmetrical shape, like a sine wave. The chart shows three cycles unfolding in a bullish phase. Let’s focus on their peaks and what they reveal. **1ST CYCLE** Extreme right translation: the peak forms very late in the cycle, close to the next trough, with only a minor correction at the end. This signals a very strong bullish underlying trend. **2ND CYCLE** Less pronounced right translation (~80 % of cycle duration), indicating a still-bullish underlying trend but with diminishing momentum—nothing alarming for buyers yet. **CURRENT 3RD CYCLE** The key question: is the 4,400 high from October the peak of this cycle? If confirmed, left translation would mark a medium-term top for the three-cycle sequence, leading to at least consolidation or correction into early spring. How do we confirm whether the cycle has already peaked? The answer lies in combining multiple cyclic tools. Additional signals on the chart: 1. The Quant tool projects price below the equilibrium line for the first time in months. 2. The Analisisciclico Sine Wave indicator has crossed downward. 3. Price has broken below the FLD, triggering “sell” mode. Consistent with this view, I have initiated a short-selling strategy—acknowledging the risk—using the current short-term upward correction to enter shorts. Good luck, José -------------------------- eToro is a multi-asset investment platform. The value of your investments may go up or down. Your capital is at risk. Past performance is not an indication of future results. Trading history presented is less than 5 complete years and may not suffice as basis for investment decision. Copy Trading does not amount to investment advice. The value of your investments may go up or down. Your capital is at risk. ::

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