Sylvain Roche @montana063: "🚨 THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ:..."

France

🚨 THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ: WHY THIS IS NOT JUST AN OIL STORY The Strait of Hormuz is once again at the center of global market attention. Donald Trump has announced the reinstatement of a U.S.-led naval blockade targeting Iranian shipping. He also wants the United States to receive compensation equivalent to 20% of the value of cargo passing through the area in exchange for securing commercial traffic. Iran, meanwhile, claims that the strait remains closed. In reality, the situation is more complex. Some ships are still passing through, which means the waterway does not appear to be completely blocked. However, the uncertainty and security risks are already affecting energy prices and global markets. 🛢️ WHY IS THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ SO IMPORTANT? Around one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas normally passes through this narrow waterway. A prolonged disruption could therefore create a chain reaction across the entire global economy: ➡️ Reduced energy supply ➡️ Higher oil and gas prices ➡️ Higher transportation costs ➡️ More expensive goods and services ➡️ Higher inflation ➡️ Interest rates remaining elevated for longer ➡️ Pressure on consumption and corporate margins This is why the situation is not only important for oil companies. Airlines, logistics groups, manufacturers, retailers and consumers could all be affected indirectly. Even technology companies could suffer if renewed inflation forces central banks to maintain higher interest rates for longer, as higher rates generally reduce the present value investors are willing to pay for future earnings. 📊 WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR MY PORTFOLIO? I am not going to restructure my entire portfolio because of one geopolitical announcement. Nobody can reliably predict whether tensions will escalate further, whether the strait will reopen completely or whether an agreement will eventually be reached. My strategy is therefore not based on predicting the next political decision. It is based on owning diversified, financially solid businesses across several sectors and continuing to invest with a long-term perspective. Some companies may benefit from higher energy prices. Others may face temporary pressure on their costs or margins. That is precisely why diversification remains important. A diversified portfolio will not prevent volatility, but it can reduce dependence on one company, one sector or one possible outcome. 🧠 MY APPROACH REMAINS UNCHANGED I will continue to: ✅ Focus on business fundamentals ✅ Maintain broad sector diversification ✅ Avoid leverage and short-term speculation ✅ Reinforce strong companies when valuations become attractive ✅ Reinvest dividends ✅ Keep enough patience to look beyond short-term headlines Geopolitical volatility can create fear, but it can also create opportunities for disciplined long-term investors. The objective is not to predict every crisis. The objective is to build a strategy capable of surviving them. 📌 Copy Info 👥 62 copiers 📈 13.1K followers 📊 2-year return: +52.12% 📅 2026 YTD: +17.90% ✅ Profitable weeks: 64% ✅ Profitable trades: 71% 🛡️ Risk score: 3/10 📉 Beta: 0.8 💸 $1,000 recommended to copy the strategy properly. 💸 $2,000 or more is ideal for a more comfortable and faithful copy, especially with regular investing. $SPX500 $NSDQ100 $FRA40 $GER40 $AUS200

Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.