From 2017 - 2025, I had one of the highest compounded annual growth rate of all Popular Investors on eToro - www.etoro.com/posts/b70b8770-ef9f-11f0-8080-800004f76fda
π Market Mayhem: Precious Metals Crash, Bitcoin Tests Support, and Two Big Earnings Ahead
What a week! If you've been watching commodities, you've witnessed something truly historic. $GOLD which reached an all-time high above $5,500 last Thursday, plunged over $1,000 in a single day on Friday, recording its biggest one-day drop since 2013. Silver was even more dramatic, collapsing more than 30% in what is it's worst single-day % performance since 1980. As I write this on Tuesday morning, both metals are rebounding, with silver clawing back above $85 and gold stabilising around $4,900.
The "debasement trade" that drove precious metals higher throughout January hit the brakes hard, though I suspect the underlying concerns about government debt and geopolitical tensions haven't disappeared. JPMorgan analysts are maintaining their year-end gold target at $6,300, suggesting they see this as a positioning reset rather than a fundamental shift.
πͺ $BCT Finds Floor at $75K
The cryptocurrency market has been struggling too, but for different reasons. Bitcoin dropped below $80,000 for the first time since April 2025, briefly touching $74,876 before recovering to trade around $78,000. This represents roughly a 35% pullback from its October all-time high of nearly $125,000. Digital asset investment products saw $1.7 billion in outflows last week, according to CoinShares, marking a significant deterioration in sentiment.
I've always said Bitcoin would test patient investors, and here we are. Some analysts suggest $70,000 as a potential support level if selling continues, while others believe the market is simply experiencing a broader risk-off environment.
The partial US government shutdown delaying Friday's nonfarm payrolls report isn't helping sentiment either. For now, I'm watching how Bitcoin behaves around the $75,000 to $80,000 zone to gauge whether this is capitulation or consolidation.
π¬ SOFI: Acquisition Talk After Milestone Quarter
Speaking of my portfolio, the conversation around $SOFI (SoFi Technologies Inc) has shifted in an interesting direction. Following their historic $1 billion quarterly revenue milestone, CEO Anthony Noto addressed speculation about potential acquisitions on the earnings call. The company raised $1.5 billion during Q4 despite having no immediate capital needs, which naturally led investors to wonder if a major deal is in the works.
Noto mentioned that international fintechs with existing licences or infrastructure could be attractive targets, as could credit card processing and issuing capabilities that the technology platform currently lacks. However, he essentially said management hasn't found anything that makes sense from a value perspective yet. I appreciate this disciplined approach. With capital ratios 1,000 basis points above required levels, SoFi has the financial flexibility to be opportunistic without feeling pressured. Whether they acquire or continue organic growth, I think the company is in an enviable position.
π Looking Ahead: $SHOP (Shopify Inc.) and $NBIS (Nebius Group NV) Earnings on Deck
Two of my portfolio holdings are reporting next week, and I'll be watching both closely. SHOP (Shopify Inc) announces Q4 and full-year 2025 results on February 11th. The stock has pulled back to nearly a six-month low and I'm interested to see how their "Agentic Commerce" initiative is progressing, particularly the integration with AI chat platforms like ChatGPT.
Then on February 12th, NBIS (Nebius Group NV) releases Q4 and full-year 2025 results. The AI infrastructure company is targeting annual recurring revenue of $7-9 billion by the end of 2026, with more than half already secured through contracted demand. Analysts remain bullish, with price targets ranging from $164 to $211. Given Nebius's partnership with Nvidia and their recent AI Cloud 3.1 rollout, I'm keen to see how their pipeline is converting.
Check out my profile to learn more about my investment strategy and if you have any questions, feel free to leave a comment below. Thanks for taking the time to read this! π
Harry... Show More
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