Rollopda
Edited
๐—ช๐—›๐—ฌ ๐—œ๐—ฆ $BTC ๐—–๐—ข๐—ฅ๐—ฅ๐—˜๐—Ÿ๐—”๐—ง๐—˜๐—— ๐—ง๐—ข $SPX500 ? Online, you can find many articles that try to analyse or find a correlation between the SPX500 (or more in general the US indexes) and BTC, but to me it seems many of them are missing one crucial point. To analyse any market, we have to keep in mind that it is regulated only according to how the money flows in and out of it, and technical analysis, patterns, indicators, and ratios are helpful. Still, they are just an interpretation of a few parameters we use as input. A few years ago, BTC was not as easy to use as it is today; and to use it, it required a deep knowledge of the processes that regulate it, which is why it gained so much in such a short period. ๐—ฌ๐—ข๐—จ ๐—ž๐—ก๐—ข๐—ช ๐—›๐—ข๐—ช ๐—œ๐—ง ๐—ช๐—ข๐—ฅ๐—ž๐—ฆ โžก๏ธ ๐—ฌ๐—ข๐—จ ๐—จ๐—ก๐——๐—˜๐—ฅ๐—ฆ๐—ง๐—”๐—ก๐—— ๐—œ๐—ง๐—ฆ ๐—ฉ๐—”๐—Ÿ๐—จ๐—˜ โžก๏ธ ๐—ฌ๐—ข๐—จ ๐—›๐—ข๐——๐—Ÿ ๐—œ๐—ง To keep it simple, letโ€™s divide Bitcoin life into three macro eras: โ€ข ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿต - ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฒ ๐Ÿ‘‰ Most of the BTC holders were guys with knowledge of the blockchain technology. โ€ข ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฒ - ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿต ๐Ÿ‘‰ BTC came out among people passionate about technology, and many enthusiasts started buying it. โ€ข ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿต - ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฎ ๐Ÿ‘‰ Many reliable platforms (cheers eToro) and a few Hedge Fund started cryptocurrencies trading, so traders and investors can access them very easily. ๐—ก๐—˜๐—ฅ๐—— โžก๏ธ ๐—ง๐—˜๐—–๐—› ๐—š๐—จ๐—ฌ๐—ฆ โžก๏ธ ๐—œ๐—ก๐—ฉ๐—˜๐—ฆ๐—ง๐—ข๐—ฅ๐—ฆ To fully understand the correlation between these two assets, which were totally uncorrelated until a few months ago, we cannot ignore the retail investor and the various founds from the analysis. With a focus on the US market (but it can be adjusted to the rest of the world easily), the rise in the interest rate by the FED to reduce inflation forces companies and investors to manage their money differently. Companies pay more for their debts, resulting in less profit. At the same time, investors must be cautious with their funds because, on one side, their portfolio is sinking, so rebalances are required; on the other side, the increased cost of living makes them think twice before taking risks. ๐—™๐—˜๐—— ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐˜€ โžก๏ธ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฏ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ โžก๏ธ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฒ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ฑ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐˜€ โžก๏ธ ๐—œ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ฟ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐˜€ โžก๏ธ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€โ€™ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ด๐—ผ ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ โžก๏ธ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ ๐—ณ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น โžก๏ธ ๐—œ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ฟ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐˜€ โžก๏ธ โ€ฆ In conclusion, I firmly believe that Bitcoin and the SPX500 are correlated mainly because of the new category of users that joined the crypto universe. Traders and Investors act with cryptocurrencies as with any other stock, so if there is a downturn in the market and Bitcoin is part of their portfolio, it will be managed accordingly. Moreover, today, all the financial educational contents available on the web, make people conscious about their investments and they move through them differently. ๐˜พ๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™›๐™ช๐™จ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐˜ฝ๐™๐˜พ ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™–๐™™๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™ฌ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ ๐˜ฝ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ž๐™ฃโ€™๐™จ ๐™ฉ๐™š๐™˜๐™๐™ฃ๐™ค๐™ก๐™ค๐™œ๐™ฎ ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ช๐™ก๐™™ ๐™ก๐™š๐™–๐™™ ๐™ฉ๐™ค ๐™š๐™ง๐™ง๐™ค๐™ง๐™จ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™–๐™ฉ ๐™ข๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ฎ ๐™ค๐™› ๐™ช๐™จ ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ช๐™ก๐™™ ๐™ง๐™š๐™œ๐™ง๐™š๐™ฉ ๐™ž๐™ฃ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™›๐™ช๐™ฉ๐™ช๐™ง๐™š. $NSDQ100 $DJ30 $ETH
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