๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ - WEEK 35 - ๐๐ผ๐ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฒ๐ณ๐ถ๐ ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ผ๐บ ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฅ๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฐ
Good evening everyone,
first the YTD benchmark numbers....
๐ข JvAnkershoffen 46.71%
๐ข $SPX500 17.75%
๐ข $NSDQ100 16.05%
๐ข $GER40 11.14%
Followed by the topics:
1๏ธโฃ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐/๐ฃ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ณ๐ผ๐น๐ถ๐ผ ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐ (๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป)
2๏ธโฃ ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ป๐ถ๐ป๐ด๐
3๏ธโฃ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฟ๐ผ
๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฐ๐๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ ๐๐๐ด๐๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฐ:
drive.google.com/file/d/1b3x9aOzL0WGnXfWYuOQs7GiaU3w7_xaw/view
๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐/๐ฃ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ณ๐ผ๐น๐ถ๐ผ ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐ (๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป)
The market since last week:
โช Stocks up ๐
โช Interest rates/yields (especially at the short end in the US) down significantly ๐
โช The reason for these movements? The market's long-held interest rate fantasies are finally becoming reality!
โช In his Jackson Hole speech on Friday, Jerome Powell essentially promised a first rate cut for September ... without specifying whether it would โonlyโ be 0.25% or even 0.50% in the end. Inflation is virtually defeated and the Fed is now more concerned about the labor market.
โช We only learned about the latter on Wednesday that the official labor market data was probably overestimated by around 800k jobs. This seems politically explosive, but should come as no surprise to anyone who regularly reads these weekly outlooks. After all, the many contradictions in the official labor market report have been pointed out here for a long time. Several banks, including the Fed itself, have also published research on the subject.
๐คทโโ๏ธ ๐๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ, ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ถ๐ด ๐พ๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ณ๐๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐น๐น ๐ฏ๐ฒ:
โช Has inflation really been beaten and are interest rate cuts justified? Critics might argue that even if inflation rates have fallen, prices themselves are higher than ever before.
โช Theoretically, it could therefore be argued that inflation rates should be well below 2% for the next few years so that consumers can catch up again.
โช At the same time, there is always the danger of cutting interest rates โtoo earlyโ and thus failing to prevent a possible second inflationary spurt.
๐ ๐๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ณ๐ผ๐น๐ถ๐ผ?
โช In the โGrowth and Cryptoโ sector, we are already focusing permanently on second and third-tier stocks.
โช The future interest rate cuts will benefit us greatly here. Small caps in particular still have upside potential.
โช The interest rate cuts may lead to further sector rotation. From $SPX500 and $NSDQ100 to $RTY .
โช To further increase returns from this, we also have the โshort to medium-term tradesโ sector.
โช We sold $GOLD.BARRICK (Barrick Gold) and thus increased our position to $LC (LendingClub Corporation) . I will explain what $LC does and is in a separate article. In any case, this share will benefit massively from interest rate cuts.
โช And what else can we expect this week?
๐ฐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ป๐ถ๐ป๐ด๐
โช In general, it will probably be a rather quiet week, but one that is garnished with a potentially big event.
โช Wednesday is the big day with $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) earnings! But that's also the end of the earnings season.
๐ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฟ๐ผ
โช Thursday we get the German inflation figures with the classic CPI / HICP confusion: The growth of the CPI consumer price index is said to have fallen from +2.3% to +2.1% year-on-year, while the data for the harmonized variant should have fallen from +2.6% to 2.3%. We will also get the US GDP on the same day ... but also โonlyโ the second reading, which is likely to confirm the already known figures of +2.8%.
โช Friday will be a bit more exciting with the eurozone inflation, which should have fallen from +2.6% to +2.3% in the headline. More problematic, however, is the core, which should fall from +2.9% to +2.8% ... but is still well above the ECB's target.
That's it from me again.... have a nice evening everyone
All the best
๐ ๐ซ๐ผ โ
๐๐๐ก๐ฉ๐๐ฆ๐ง๐ข๐ฅ ๐ฅ๐๐๐๐ง๐๐ข๐ก๐ฆ
๐น Biography
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๐นPreview 2023
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๐น Dollar Cost Averaging
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๐น Short the Market?
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๐น Latest Stock Reports
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โ ๐ ๐๐
๐ - ๐๐๐๐ฉ ๐๐จ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ง๐๐ฃ๐๐ ๐๐๐ฉ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฃ ๐ฎ๐ค๐ช ๐๐ฃ๐ ๐ค๐ฉ๐๐๐ง ๐๐๐๐-๐๐ยด๐จ
A - The tech portfolio is composed of 45% non-corelating stocks to react to the current market situation. For example RHM.DE (Rheinmetall AG)
๐ - ๐๐ค๐ฌ ๐๐ค ๐ฎ๐ค๐ช ๐ ๐ฃ๐ค๐ฌ ๐๐ ๐ ๐๐ค๐ข๐ฅ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ ๐๐จ ๐ช๐ฃ๐๐๐ง๐ซ๐๐ก๐ช๐๐?
A - I use a special software to find and evaluate potential stock. An example $FB : etoro.tw/3xwMgSr
๐ - ๐๐๐๐ฉ ๐๐จ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐๐ข๐ช๐ข ๐๐ข๐ค๐ช๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐ ๐๐๐ฃ ๐๐ค๐ฅ๐ฎ ๐ฎ๐ค๐ช ๐ฌ๐๐ฉ๐?
A - The minimum amount for my portfolio is $500.
๐ - ๐๐ค๐ง ๐๐ค๐ฌ ๐ก๐ค๐ฃ๐ ๐จ๐๐ค๐ช๐ก๐ ๐ ๐๐ค๐ฅ๐ฎ?
A - At least 12 months.... Show More
