Stewart Fitzell
๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ & ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ: -๐˜ฝ๐™š๐™จ๐™ฉ ๐™Ž๐™š๐™ฅ๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ข๐™—๐™š๐™ง ๐™ž๐™ฃ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฑ ๐™”๐™š๐™–๐™ง๐™จ โ€” ๐™’๐™๐™–๐™ฉโ€™๐™จ ๐™‰๐™š๐™ญ๐™ฉ? The S&P 500 gained 3.5% in September, its best in over 15 years, while ๐™ฉ๐™๐™ž๐™จ ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™ค ๐™ง๐™ค๐™จ๐™š ๐Ÿฒ.๐Ÿฑ% - ๐™– ๐™จ๐™ž๐™œ๐™ฃ๐™ž๐™›๐™ž๐™˜๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ฉ ๐™ค๐™ช๐™ฉ๐™ฅ๐™š๐™ง๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š. This week AI optimism drove the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq to new highs, with $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) extending its streak and healthcare posting its best week since 2022. Still, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent warned growth could slow as a result of the government shutdown. Let's take a closer look. ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ”น๏ธ๐™’๐™๐™–๐™ฉโ€™๐™จ ๐˜ฟ๐™ง๐™ž๐™ซ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™ˆ๐™–๐™ง๐™ ๐™š๐™ฉ๐™จ โ–ช๏ธHopes of further U.S. rate cuts. โ–ช๏ธStrong AI momentum. โ–ช๏ธResilient earnings. ๐Ÿ”น๏ธ๐™’๐™๐™–๐™ฉโ€™๐™จ ๐˜พ๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š๐™ง๐™ฃ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™„๐™ฃ๐™ซ๐™š๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ค๐™ง๐™จ โ–ช๏ธSofter labour signals. โ–ช๏ธTariff impacts as Q3 earnings begin. โ–ช๏ธConsumer resilience potentially under pressure. ๐Ÿ”น๏ธ๐™๐™๐™š ๐™.๐™Ž. ๐™‚๐™ค๐™ซ๐™š๐™ง๐™ฃ๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ ๐™Ž๐™๐™ช๐™ฉ๐™™๐™ค๐™ฌ๐™ฃ? The U.S. government has shut down after Congress failed to pass a budget โ€” meaning many services close while essentials continue. This is far from unprecedented, occurring three times during Trump's first term with one lasting 35 days. In most cases the markets have ended shutdowns higher. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต: the September jobs report is delayed, leaving the Fed flying blind on labor data and raising volatility risks. This may cause uncertainty and potentially volatility, especially if other important data releases are delayed. ๐Ÿ”น๏ธ๐™๐™๐™ž๐™จ ๐™‹๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™ค Up 6.5% in September, outperforming the S&P 500. Top performers included $LLY (Eli Lilly & Co) , lifted by strong demand, optimism over its weight-loss drugs, and Trumpโ€™s deal with Pfizer; $CRH.L (CRH plc) , gaining after its Investor Day growth plan; and $AVAV (AeroVironment Inc.) , which surged on a $499M U.S. Air Force contract. Our gold, silver and $BTC hedges also continued to perform as investors sought safety amid market uncertainty. With almost six months straight of positive returns for the markets and potential investor uncertainty, Iโ€™m holding a higher than usual amount of cash to deploy into market weakness or rotations, while trimming some positions at highs to lock in gains. If you're thinking of adding funds to the copy, now could be a good time - I added some on Wednesday. Have a nice weekend! Stewart ๐Ÿ”น๏ธ๐™‹๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™ค ๐™„๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™ค๐™™๐™ช๐™˜๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ & ๐™๐˜ผ๐™Œ etoro.tw/3BqjOb2 ๐Ÿ”น๏ธ๐˜พ๐™ค๐™ฅ๐™ฎ ๐™๐™ง๐™–๐™™๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ: ๐™†๐™š๐™ฎ ๐™„๐™ฃ๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ etoro.tw/45vTQj5 โš ๏ธ Risk Warnings: Copy Trading does not amount to investment advice | Your capital is at risk | The value if your investments may go up or down. | Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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