Nabil Sifo @NabilSifo: "𝐏𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐟𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐨 𝐮𝐩𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐞: 𝐑𝐞𝐜𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐟𝐞𝐚𝐫 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐦..."

Germany

Edited

𝐏𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐟𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐨 𝐮𝐩𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐞: 𝐑𝐞𝐜𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐟𝐞𝐚𝐫 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐦 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 Dear copiers and followers, The market is pulling back hard this week, almost erasing a month of gains. This pullback is mainly related to recession fear. On the 15th of October, the US Fed Chair Jerome Powell mentioned the worsening of the labor market prospects. He also mentioned that the tariffs would worsen the situation. Ironically, he also said the rate cut is almost certain in October, which came across as a try from the Fed to save the economy. 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐪𝐮𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐢𝐬: 𝐡𝐨𝐰 𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐜 𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐟𝐞𝐚𝐫? There is indeed a clear link between unemployment numbers and a recession. When more people lose their jobs, spending drops, businesses struggle, and eventually they lay off even more workers. Still, the current situation is not yet in recession territory. What we see instead is many investors trying to predict a downturn and, in doing so, triggering panic selling across the market. The truth is, we only know a recession has arrived once it is already behind us. Right now, fear is dominating the headlines, but this is exactly how the stock market works: fear spreads, prices fall, investors sell at a loss. Then, as always, the market recovers……But those who sold too early are left with the losses. That is why those holding quality stocks should not fear the word “recession.” Strong businesses endure, and patient investors are the ones who benefit when the dust settles. Our portfolio is mainly built on fundamentally strong businesses with very high cash flow and cash reserves. Thus, we shall be fine in any scenario. I have freed some cash anticipating a stronger drop in growth stocks. That’s where I will happily buy again. Looking at $HIMS (Hims & Hers Health Inc) $NBIS (Nebius Group NV) and $MELI (MercadoLibre Inc) . Best regards, Nabil Sifo $SPX500 I am a professional risk modeler and an Associate Member of the Chartered Institute for Securities & Investment (CISI), London. All posts reflect my personal opinions only and do not constitute, nor should they be interpreted as, financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Risk Warnings: Copy Trading does not amount to investment advice | Your capital is at risk | Past performance is not indicative of future results.

4 Mentioned

HIMS

Hims & Hers Health Inc

NBIS

Nebius Group NV

MELI

MercadoLibre Inc

SPX500

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