Hello everyone and welcome to the new copiers. In this post we go over the February market developments and what it meant for my portfolio thoughts and outlook for next few months.
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February started good like most recent months, but then we got a mix of bad news. First slightly negative sign was January jobs data that missed expectations with 143 000 jobs added vs the 169 000 expected. Then the continuous saga of "ON and OFF" Trumps tariffs for China, Mexico and Canada that could cause further increase inflation at a time that we really need inflation to nudge lower and stay there for some time. After that we got some negative data referring to the future with consumer sentiment index falling to 64.7 with concerns over inflation. All this with FED being unable to lower the interest rate yet due to sticky inflation. Most recently investors got scared over Nvidia's earnings which showed the lowest beat in 2 years, this could potentially indicate that it might only just meet or even miss expectations in the near-term future. Of course Nvidia as a flagship AI stock potentially also takes everything AI related into a growth slump with it, which is most of the tech stocks.
All that being said, this could still end up being just a temporary negative bump on the road like we have seen before in the recent 2 years. The concern however for me is pretty high mostly because inflation has not been sufficiently lowered yet.
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Due to slew of negative news, I decided against adding the gold and crypto just yet, but I am warming up to at least a small position with the recent declines, knowing that a much bigger decline is still quite possible if the data continues to show signs of a slowdown and more so if the inflation remains high as well. ... Show More
can you share more for current situation? as we have 40% balance? :) what will be next step with your portfolio?... Show More
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Tue Dec 09 2025 10:11:56 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
