Ombretta De Marco @Ombrettademarco: "HIGH VOLATILITY, HIGH DISCIPLINE: HOW..."

Italy

HIGH VOLATILITY, HIGH DISCIPLINE: HOW I’M NAVIGATING THIS CRYPTO RESET This has been an extremely challenging week for the crypto markets: $BTC decisively broke below $85,000, triggering a new capitulation phase with over $1 billion in long positions liquidated within hours. As of now (Saturday, November 22nd, 9 PM), $BTC is trading at $84,500, $SOL at $127 and $ETH at $2,700, a context dominated by fear and rising volatility. The current zone is particularly interesting from a cycle perspective. The area between $73,000 and $84,000 is often identified as the potential Pain Zone, where markets statistically tend to form a significant bottom. Capitulation signals are clearly there: four consecutive red weekly candles, short-term holders underwater, and open interest wiped out. To truly turn constructive again on the long-term trend, there are a few important technical confirmations we would need to see: a weekly Higher Low above $80,000, a monthly close above $82,000 to keep the long-term uptrend intact, and ideally a reclaim of the $95,000 area to prove that demand is structurally back in control. As long as supply dominates demand, any bounce remains vulnerable to selling pressure. Meanwhile, the macro backdrop could become more favourable for risk assets. The probability of a Fed rate cut as early as December has risen significantly. We are also seeing meaningful inflows into assets like Solana, which continues to attract strong institutional interest. Positive catalysts are not lacking, but volatility remains high and demands discipline. In all of this, I am not increasing my exposure to Bitcoin. I believe BTC could reach more attractive price levels further ahead, and for this reason my next major accumulation phase is planned for the 2026 bear market, when the risk/reward profile will be significantly more favourable than it is today. We already took profit on Bitcoin near the highs, preserving capital in moments like this is a strategic choice. At the same time, if Bitcoin speeds up again toward the end of the year, history tells us that altcoins tend to outperform during those acceleration phases. This is why I have strengthened my positions in SOL, ETH, and $CRO and I have also started adding $BNB to the portfolio, focusing on leading ecosystems with real adoption and solid fundamentals. I have also added three new biotech positions, $ABOS (Acumen Pharmaceuticals Inc) $ARCT (Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc) and $SPRY (ARS Pharmaceuticals Inc) assets decorrelated from the crypto market that can offer attractive return opportunities in volatile environments. On the operational side, I have realized profits on positions such as $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) $FSLR (First Solar, Inc.) $DHI (D.R. Horton Inc) $SONY (Sony Group Corp.-ADR) $CMC (Commercial Metals Co) $BOL.ST (Boliden AB) and various Chinese equities that were trading around cycle highs; and most importantly, I have increased the cash allocation in the portfolio. Preparing dry powder now means being ready to seize real opportunities later. This is a phase where we must protect, prepare, and position ourselves with clarity. A drawdown is not a threat for those who have a strategy, it is a transition toward the next opportunity.