Marco Zarantonello @ZaraBullish: "𝐂𝐨𝐟𝐟𝐞𝐞 & 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭𝐬 ▪️ 𝗠𝗔𝗥𝗞𝗘𝗧𝗦 U.S. equities..."

Italy

𝐂𝐨𝐟𝐟𝐞𝐞 & 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭𝐬 ▪️ 𝗠𝗔𝗥𝗞𝗘𝗧𝗦 U.S. equities moved higher as softer-than-expected inflation boosted investor sentiment. The S&P 500 gained 0.38% to 7,543, while the Nasdaq advanced 0.9% to 26,107, led by technology stocks. ▪️ 𝗖𝗣𝗜 𝗜𝗡𝗙𝗟𝗔𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡 June CPI came in at 3.5% YoY, below the 3.8% consensus, easing concerns over persistent inflation and reducing expectations for additional near-term Fed tightening. ▪️ 𝗙𝗘𝗗 Following the inflation report, markets sharply repriced monetary policy expectations. The implied probability of a July rate hike fell to just 17%, down from 42% the previous day. ▪️ 𝗨𝗦–𝗜𝗥𝗔𝗡 Geopolitical tensions intensified after the U.S. expanded its naval blockade while Iran responded with drone strikes targeting areas near Jordan, Kuwait, and Bahrain. Despite softer inflation data, the conflict continues to pose a major upside risk to global energy prices. ▪️ 𝗢𝗜𝗟 Brent crude climbed above $86/barrel, while WTI moved above $80, as traders priced in a higher geopolitical risk premium following the latest Middle East developments. ▪️ 𝗜𝗕𝗠 IBM shares plunged more than 25% after preliminary second-quarter results missed expectations. Management cited execution issues across its software and infrastructure businesses, making it one of the market’s worst performers. ▪️ 𝗦𝗘𝗠𝗜𝗖𝗢𝗡𝗗𝗨𝗖𝗧𝗢𝗥𝗦 Chip stocks rebounded ahead of ASML’s earnings. SK Hynix ADRs surged over 27%, while Micron gained around 5%, reflecting renewed optimism for AI memory demand. ▪️ 𝗜𝗠𝗙 The IMF maintained its 3.0% global growth forecast for 2026 and upgraded South Korea’s outlook to 2.6%, citing strong AI-driven semiconductor exports. ▪️ 𝗖𝗥𝗬𝗣𝗧𝗢 & 𝗚𝗢𝗟𝗗 Bitcoin held near $62.5K as large investors accumulated roughly 11,000 BTC over the past week. Gold remained supported around $4,062/oz, benefiting from ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. ▪️ 𝗠𝗔𝗥𝗞𝗘𝗧 𝗟𝗘𝗩𝗘𝗟𝗦 * S&P 500: ~7,543 * Nasdaq: ~26,107 * Bitcoin: ~$62.5K * Gold: ~$4,062/oz * Brent crude: ~$86.28/barrel —————— 𝑴𝒚 𝑺𝒕𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒆𝒈𝒚 • 𝘊𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘰𝘮𝘪𝘻𝘦𝘥 𝘋𝘰𝘶𝘣𝘭𝘦-𝘋𝘰𝘸𝘯 𝘚𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘨𝘺: 𝘢𝘪𝘮𝘴 𝘵𝘰 𝘪𝘮𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘷𝘦 𝘺𝘦𝘢𝘳-𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘳-𝘺𝘦𝘢𝘳 𝘳𝘦𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘯𝘴 𝘶𝘴𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘢 𝘲𝘶𝘢𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘢𝘱𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘢𝘤𝘩 • 𝘚𝘵𝘰𝘤𝘬-𝘱𝘪𝘤𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘢𝘭𝘨𝘰𝘳𝘪𝘵𝘩𝘮 𝘥𝘳𝘪𝘷𝘦𝘯 𝘣𝘺 𝘯𝘢𝘳𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘢𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘺𝘴𝘪𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘣𝘭𝘪𝘴𝘩𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘪𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘨𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘊𝘰𝘱𝘺 𝘮𝘺 𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘨𝘺 𝘵𝘰 𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘥𝘦 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘢 𝘵𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘦𝘥, 𝘴𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘥 𝘴𝘺𝘴𝘵𝘦𝘮, 𝘥𝘦𝘴𝘪𝘨𝘯𝘦𝘥 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘨𝘳𝘰𝘸𝘵𝘩, 𝘧𝘭𝘦𝘹𝘪𝘣𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘤𝘢𝘱𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘭 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘵𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘔𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘮𝘶𝘮 𝘤𝘢𝘱𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘭: $200 (𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘯𝘰𝘸) 𝘋𝘪𝘴𝘤𝘭𝘢𝘪𝘮𝘦𝘳: 𝘛𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘪𝘴 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘢 𝘨𝘶𝘢𝘳𝘢𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘳𝘦𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘯𝘴. 𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵𝘴 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘶𝘯𝘤𝘦𝘳𝘵𝘢𝘪𝘯, 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘪𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘢𝘭𝘸𝘢𝘺𝘴 𝘪𝘯𝘷𝘰𝘭𝘷𝘦𝘴 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬. $SPX500 $NSDQ100 $OIL $BTC

Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.