Akim Guerreiro
๐“๐ก๐ž ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ข๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐‡๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ณ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ซ๐ž๐จ๐ฉ๐ž๐ง๐ข๐ง๐ โ€ฆ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฐ๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐ข๐ญ ๐ฆ๐ž๐š๐ง๐ฌ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐ž๐ญ You probably noticed, the media donโ€™t talk anymore that much about Iran. None of the parties have interest in re-escalating. And if they donโ€™t make a deal, the tensions will likely simply fade over time (at least until US midterm elections are over). This is one of the reasons I believe $OIL will decline in the next weeks and months, with the Spring Break period now over (traditionally high oil demand in April-May). This time I think inflation is indeed โ€œtransitoryโ€ (I am taking a big risk using that word ๐Ÿ˜‚ referring to Powell & Yellen in 2021-2022 when they were utterly wrong). The marine traffic has somewhat resumed: we are already at around 30 ships going through the Strait daily. 130 used to go through it pre-war, but I think many have been rerouted on a permanent basis. Bottom line: thatโ€™s a tailwind for risk assets, but weโ€™ll need to watch very closely the new Fed Chair Warsh and his view. I think heโ€™s more dovish than portrayed by the media (and than his own past. In any case I remain very bullish in the long run on all the positions in the @Etcaetera portfolio, picked very carefully, focusing on healthy financials, attractive valuations and strong growth potential. Thank you for following my portfolio. ๐Ÿ’š Etcaetera โ˜•๏ธ $BTC $NSDQ100 $SPX500 $USO (United States Oil Fund) www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:56.2/centery:26.9/zoom:10
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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