Devon Toogood
Hingham Institution for Savings ($HIFS) is a straightforward business. Commercial real estate and multifamily mortgage lending in Boston, Washington D.C., and San Francisco, funded largely by deposits and wholesale borrowings. The core story is margin recovery. The inverted yield curve crushed net interest margin from 3.48% in 2021 to a trough of 1.04% in 2024. That compression has reversed sharply — NIM reached 1.96% in December 2025. The driver isn't just rate normalization. The bank's deposit team has grown non-interest bearing balances 17.7% this year, adding free funding that directly widens the spread. What makes the recovery particularly interesting is the cost structure. The bank runs 97 employees on $4.5 billion in assets — operating expenses at 67 basis points of assets versus an industry average above 200 basis points. The Q4 2025 efficiency ratio hit 35%. When revenue recovers against a fixed cost base, the change isn't gradual. Management describes current returns on equity as still "below their long-term expectations". The valuation: Normalized ROA 1.2% × 10× leverage × 90% retention = 10.8% annual BV growth. Add multiple expansion from 1.22 to ~1.6× over a cycle, plus a small dividend. Expected CAGR over next ten years: ~14-15%.
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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