Xuan Lap Tran
๐—ข๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—”๐—œ: ๐—ด๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜„๐˜๐—ต ๐—ด๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ต? ๐Ÿค–๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐—ฉ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป: ~$๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ๐—ฏ round in Mar 2025, with more recent marks closer to ~$๐Ÿฑ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ๐—ฏ, on โ‰ˆ$๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฏ๐—ฏ 2025 revenue โ†’ roughly ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐโ€“๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฌ๐˜… ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜€. ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—ฑ๐˜†๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜€: โ‰ˆ$๐Ÿต๐—ฏ cash burn this year; cumulative cash burn guided around $๐Ÿญ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฑ๐—ฏ by ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿต, with ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต-๐—ณ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ only expected in ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿตโ€“๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฌ. ๐—š๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜„๐˜๐—ต ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐˜: management is effectively pitching a path to ~$๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ๐—ฏ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฒ by ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฌ (~๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฒ๐˜… from today) to make the economics of massive AI infra spend work. ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ & ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€: deep ties to $MSFT (Microsoft) (cloud + equity), $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) (chips, 10GW LOI), $ORCL (Oracle Corporation) and SoftBank via ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ, with ๐—ต๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—น๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ in planned US AI data-centre capex that could increasingly drive earnings weight inside $NSDQ100 and $SPX500. ๐—ค๐˜‚๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜€: ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—น๐˜† ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—”๐—œโ€™๐˜€ ๐—ฆ-๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ โ€” ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐˜† ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐˜†๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ง๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฏ๐—ผ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ด๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜„๐˜๐—ต? แด…ษช๊œฑแด„สŸแด€ษชแดแด‡ส€: ษดแดแด› ๊œฐษชษดแด€ษดแด„ษชแด€สŸ แด€แด…แด ษชแด„แด‡. แดแด€ส€แด‹แด‡แด›๊œฑ ๊œฐสŸแดœแด„แด›แดœแด€แด›แด‡โ€”ษชษดแด แด‡๊œฑแด› แดกษช๊œฑแด‡สŸส.
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