Johann-Nepomuk Ernst Josef Hoffer von Ankershoffen
โ˜• ๐Œ๐Ž๐‘๐๐ˆ๐๐† ๐—จ๐—ฃ๐——๐—”๐—ง๐—˜ - ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ?!๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช ๐“๐จ๐ฉ 5๏ธโƒฃ ๐Ÿ˜Ž 1๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ1๏ธโƒฃ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ: +54.77% ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ: +79.49% ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฑ: +15.93% ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”: -10.31% ๐†๐จ๐จ๐ ๐ฆ๐จ๐ซ๐ง๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฒ๐จ๐ง๐ž! ๐ŸŒ… Yesterday we finally saw a strong rebound after last week's sharp pullback in AI stocks. Our portfolio benefited as well, finishing the day up around ๐Ÿฐ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ. ๐Ÿ’ช The recovery is continuing in 24-hour trading today, mainly driven by $AMZN (Amazon.com Inc) strong earnings, which once again highlight how aggressively the major tech companies continue to invest in AI. ๐Ÿค” ๐–๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐š๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐œ๐š๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฅ-๐จ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ? The more I read about it, the more it confirms my initial view: ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐€๐ˆ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฅ๐Ÿ ๐ฐ๐š๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐›๐ซ๐จ๐ค๐ž๐ง. According to Goldman Sachs, the sell-off was largely driven by hedge funds reducing leveraged positions. When forced selling happens, the biggest winners are often sold first. That's why even companies reporting excellent earnings were dragged lower. There are also reports that ๐‹๐ž๐จ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐ ๐€๐ฌ๐œ๐ก๐ž๐ง๐›๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ง๐ž๐ซ was forced to liquidate a large part of his positions. If confirmed, it would once again show how quickly sentiment can change in the market. Just a few weeks ago, people were celebrating returns of several hundred percent. Today, the discussion is about forced selling. That's exactly why I'm always cautious when I see spectacular short-term success stories. ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง๐ -๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ฆ ๐€๐ˆ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฒ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฆ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐š๐œ๐ญ Morgan Stanley continues to view the long-term fundamentals as strong. Lower corporate AI spending, cheaper AI models, or infrastructure bottlenecks do not change their long-term investment thesis. ๐Ÿ™ ๐€ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ๐ž The past few weeks and months have ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฅ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ฅ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ˆ ๐ฐ๐š๐ฌ ๐š๐ข๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ. In my view, that's simply part of investing. Anyone trying to outperform the market over the long run must also be willing to accept periods where performance temporarily falls behind. Consistent outperformance without setbacks is something I rarely see in real markets. I'd also like to sincerely thank everyone who has stayed with the portfolio despite this challenging period. Your trust means a lot to me. ๐Ÿ›’๐Ÿ“‰ ๐–๐ก๐ฒ ๐๐จ ๐ฐ๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ๐ญ๐ž๐ง ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐จ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ž ๐ฐ๐š๐ฒ? With ๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐œ๐ค๐ฌ, ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ฌ, ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง ๐๐จ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐š๐ซ ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฌ, I repeatedly see the same pattern: many people only invest after strong performance and new highs. Yet in everyday life we do exactly the opposite. Whether it's clothes, cars, or electronics, we usually wait for discounts before buying. ๐–๐ก๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐›๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐๐ข๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ญ? Nobody can consistently buy the exact bottom. But in my opinion, pullbacks often create the best long-term opportunities. That's why I encourage both current followers and anyone considering copying my portfolio to view market pullbacks as ๐จ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ง ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ฒ ๐š๐ฐ๐š๐ฒ. ๐Ÿ“ˆ all the best JvA
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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