Nikolay Nedyalkov
Quick start to the week. A lot of headlines in the past day that could affect the semiconductor space. π—žπ—²π˜† π—±π—²π˜ƒπ—²π—Ήπ—Όπ—½π—Ίπ—²π—»π˜π˜€ β€’ Brent crude jumped toward $115 after escalating tensions in the Middle East. β€’ Iran launched missile strikes toward Israel, increasing geopolitical risk in the region. β€’ Iraq warned about potential disruption around the Strait of Hormuz, one of the most important global oil routes. β€’ U.S. recession odds for this year moved up to about 27%, according to Kalshi traders. β€’ Bitcoin briefly dropped below $66K, triggering around $120M in liquidations. β€’ Earnings this week include Oracle, Adobe, and Semtech, which sits inside the semiconductor supply chain. Possible impact on semiconductors β€’ Rising energy prices can push operating costs higher for chip manufacturing, since fabs consume massive amounts of electricity. β€’ Periods of geopolitical tension often accelerate investment in domestic chip production and supply chain security. β€’ If recession fears grow, consumer electronics and PC demand can soften, which tends to hit more cyclical semiconductor names first. Semiconductors tend to react quickly to shifts in global conditions because they sit in the middle of so many industries. Question: Do you think the current headlines create short-term volatility for semiconductors, or will the sector stay relatively steady this week? $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) $AMD (Advanced Micro Devices Inc) $TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd - ADR) $ASML (ASML Holding NV) $SMH (VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF)
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.