Reinhardt Gert Coetzee
๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ณ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜… ๐——๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—•๐—น๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ - ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ ๐—๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฑ Hey everyone, we start getting earnings results this week starting with $NFLX (Netflix, Inc.) โ€” who absolutely smashed expectations with their Q4 2024 earnings! Letโ€™s break it down: ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ ๐—ฆ๐˜‚๐—ฏ๐˜€๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—š๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜„๐˜๐—ต Netflix added 18.9 million new subscribers this quarter, pushing their total membership past 300 million. Thatโ€™s the kind of growth we havenโ€™t seen since the pandemic days in 2020. ๐Ÿ’ฐ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜€ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฒ: $10.25 billion (+16% YoY) ๐—˜๐—ฃ๐—ฆ: $4.27 (beating estimates) Netflix is also projecting 2025 revenues to exceed estimates, so theyโ€™re feeling pretty confident about whatโ€™s ahead. ๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜โ€™๐˜€ ๐——๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—›๐˜†๐—ฝ๐—ฒ? ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜: Hits like Squid Gameโ€™s return, live NFL games, WWE and even a Mike Tyson boxing event have been a major draw. ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐—›๐—ถ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜€: They bumped up subscription prices in several regions, which should help fuel future investments in content. ๐—”๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ช๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด: Over 55% of new sign-ups are going for the ad-supported tier. Itโ€™s a clever way to bring in more users and diversify their revenue. Netflix would probably even prefer to convert some premium paying accounts to switch to the lower priced add tier, since they make more from the add supported tiers from a business model perspective - in the end, advertising always wins. ๐Ÿ“Š After the announcement, Netflixโ€™s stock surged 14% and is now up about 80% over the past yearโ€”way ahead of the S&P 500โ€™s 25% gain. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—Ÿ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด-๐—ง๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—บ ๐—œ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด Netflix stock is not cheap, currently trading at high valuations, so is the wider market, so always keep in mind that even though the future looks good, if the market takes a downturn, highly valued stocks will take a larger hit. ๐—›๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒโ€™๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ธ ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜: rewind to 2022. Netflixโ€™s stock price collapsed by over 70% at its lowest point after disappointing subscriber numbers and intense competition. Back then, plenty of analysts were saying this was the beginning of the end for Netflix. The idea that the stock would ever recover seemed almost laughable to some. But here we are, just a couple of years later, and Netflix isnโ€™t just backโ€”theyโ€™re breaking records and thriving in the streaming wars. For those who stayed patient and held onto their investments, the reward has been massive. This is why long-term investing matters. Companies can go through tough patches, but if the fundamentals are strong and the strategy is sound, patience often pays off. Best, Reinhardt.
null
.