Michael Jensen
Copier Update Hello everyone, We wrapped up 2025 with just over 37% profit, which makes it a very strong year overall — a result we can be proud of, even if Santa decided to take his foot off the gas right at the end. Still, markets don’t reward us for looking backward, and my focus is firmly on positioning us correctly for what lies ahead. In trading and investing, you’re only as good as your next decision, and that’s exactly where my attention is now: setting us up properly for 2026. At this stage, that means patience and discipline — not forcing exposure simply for the sake of being fully invested. Yesterday, the $DJ30, $SPX500, and $GER40 all reached new all-time highs, which naturally had a positive impact on our performance metrics. At the same time, the $NSDQ100 has been lagging, mainly because big tech no longer provides the same broad support it once did. This shift in leadership is important and worth respecting. Against this backdrop, I have deliberately reduced our market exposure heading into the new year. We are currently running around 33% invested, with 67% held in cash, giving us flexibility and optionality. This is not a defensive move out of fear, but a strategic decision to stay ready. Especially looking at Q1, I see a higher probability of a meaningful pullback, and I would rather be prepared than rushed. Market sentiment remains very relaxed, despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and a series of softer U.S. economic data points. While markets have shown impressive resilience, experience tells us that fundamentals eventually matter — and corrections are a normal and healthy part of long-term market progress. To be clear, I am not expecting a sudden market collapse, but a 10–20% correction would be well within historical norms and could create far better opportunities than what we are seeing at current levels. The MAG7 are also going through a transition phase. The AI theme remains powerful and transformative, but expectations have become more realistic. Profitability, infrastructure, and execution are now front and center. Historically, the biggest winners are often not the inventors of new technologies, but the companies that apply them efficiently — and this shift opens the door to new leadership beyond the usual names. Looking ahead to 2026, I believe the market will increasingly reward selectivity. Sector rotation and individual stock selection are likely to matter far more than simply riding index momentum. That is exactly what I am working on right now. In the meantime, maintaining a slightly defensive and flexible stance allows us to react, rather than predict — which is where real edge comes from. As the saying goes, planning is half the job, and execution follows naturally from good preparation. This phase is about laying the groundwork, so that we are ready when opportunities present themselves. With that said, I’m back at the drawing board and fully focused on making 2026 even stronger than 2025. As always, if you have any questions, feel free to ask, and I’ll get back to you as soon as possible. Mike
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