📉 BITCOIN $BTC – BEARISH ACCELERATION IN PROGRESS
Over the past few days, Bitcoin has shown increasing signs of weakness: it struggles to establish a local low, has lost the ~$93,700 support, and the next major level to watch is now around $87,500.
Altcoins, on the other hand, are showing relative strength locally, a signal that increases the probability of a short-term bottom forming, but the broader structure remains bearish until proven otherwise (daily and weekly timeframe).
🔍 What would invalidate the bearish structure?
To shift the narrative and confirm a structural reversal, BTC needs clear signals:
• A sustained recovery above $106,000 (dump absorption zone), or
• A proper higher high + higher low, signaling a true structural change.
A first sign of reaction, not inversion, would be a reclaim of the $97,000 area (top of the latest consolidation cluster).
📌 Key Levels to Monitor
• Lost support: $93,700
• Next major support: $87,500
• First reaction signal: $97,000
• Reversal threshold: $106,000
• Bearish structure intact unless higher high + higher low form
📈 Technical Interpretation
• Moving averages, MACD, and RSI all lean “Sell” on short–medium timeframes.
• The ~$94–96k area aligns with a known demand zone highlighted by several analysts.
• The current altcoin relative strength is notable: when ALTs hold or rise while BTC falls, it often means BTC’s selling pressure is advanced, but not necessarily exhausted.
• Overall structure remains bearish until BTC prints a convincing reversal pattern.
🔧 Structural Implications
• In a bearish market structure, a disciplined approach is essential, focusing on key support areas where selling pressure could ease.
• For new exposure, reaction signals (such as recovering ~$97k or ~$106k) or confirming support holds near ~$87.5k help distinguish a simple bounce from a structural shift.
🧭 In Summary
Bitcoin is in a structural testing phase:
• Losing $93,700 increased downside pressure.
• The ~$87,500 zone is now the technical fulcrum where real demand can be measured.
• The structure stays bearish until BTC either forms a clean reversal pattern or reclaims critical levels like $97k (reaction) and $106k (narrative shift).
• Altcoin relative strength is interesting, but not yet a sign of true rotation.
We’re in a market that is compressing and redistributing risk, not one that has completed its move.
• Timing remains uncertain
• Discipline remains essential
We continue to track levels, flows, and structure, and respond only when the market confirms.... Show More
You, like most PI's respect Warren Buffett. I wonder if his words will be ringing in your ears, years from now, or will respect for Warren be reconsidered, or lost.
Are people paying too much for Bitcoin?
youtu.be/oOyp7rFDe2g?si=D7GAv4F44nwr_xhl... Show More
Thanks for the post Ombretta. A strong reversal will probably come when we get some economic data to make the FED sure of cutting in December. Then, we should see bitcoin dominance drop as altcoins outperform as BTC heads up back over 100k. Dominance is already showing weakness.... Show More
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Tue Jan 20 2026 07:06:06 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
